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Dubnica vs AFC Nove Mesto

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - West 2023/2024 Mestský futbalový štadión Dubnica
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga - West 2023/2024 game between Dubnica and AFC Nove Mesto finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Nove Mesto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Dubnica
6%
Draws
90%
AFC Nove Mesto
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AFC Nove Mesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • AFC Nove Mesto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AFC Nove Mesto's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dubnica Clean Sheet 19%
AFC Nove Mesto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dubnica AFC Nove Mesto
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 4 9
Draws 1 8
Losses 26 15
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 3. Liga - West
Dubnica vs AFC Nove Mesto
1:3
Sep 16, 2023 3. Liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Dubnica
1:2
Feb 7, 2023 Club Friendly
AFC Nove Mesto vs Dubnica
2:0
Feb 12, 2022 Club Friendly
Dubnica vs AFC Nove Mesto
0:0
Aug 13, 2019 Slovak Cup
AFC Nove Mesto vs Dubnica
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dubnica 10 / 100
AFC Nove Mesto 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dubnica AFC Nove Mesto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Nove Mesto has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Dubnica's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dubnica stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AFC Nove Mesto
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zvolen30188450:2962
2Sered30168655:2856
3Galanta30166843:2954
4Belusa30148847:3750
5Sala301310752:3749
6MSK Martin30139851:4448
7Hamsik Academy Banska Bystrica301211745:2947
8Malacky301191042:3242
9Raca3010101039:3240
10Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom301171244:4240
11Podkonice30981346:5835
12Castkovce30981339:4835
13Velke Ludince30971438:4234
14Jednota Banova307101333:4131
15AFC Nove Mesto30642039:7622
16Dubnica30412529:8810