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Dudley Redhead United vs Lake Macquarie

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League
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AI Match Summary

Dudley Redhead United play Lake Macquarie in the Northern NSW State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dudley Redhead United averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Lake Macquarie averaged 2.83 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Dudley Redhead United won 1, Lake Macquarie won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 7:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Dudley Redhead United and 1.94 for Lake Macquarie. This points to a Lake Macquarie double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Dudley Redhead United
15%
Draws
47%
Lake Macquarie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lake Macquarie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Dudley Redhead United picked up more points recently compared to Lake Macquarie.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Dudley Redhead United Clean Sheet 10%
Lake Macquarie Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dudley Redhead United Lake Macquarie
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.45 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Lake Macquarie vs Dudley Redhead United
7:2
Apr 12, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Dudley Redhead United vs Lake Macquarie
1:3
Jun 20, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Lake Macquarie vs Dudley Redhead United
2:3
Apr 6, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Dudley Redhead United vs Lake Macquarie
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dudley Redhead United 36 / 100
Lake Macquarie 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dudley Redhead United Lake Macquarie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lake Macquarie or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dudley Redhead United attacking → ← attacking Lake Macquarie

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dudley Redhead United scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Lake Macquarie let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

Dudley Redhead United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lake Macquarie lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 48
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wallsend Red Devils1393137:1730
2Lake Macquarie1391348:1928
3New Lambton1372429:1923
4Newcastle Croatia1370632:3121
5Dudley Redhead United1363420:2021
6West Wallsend FC1353524:3218
7Cessnock City Hornets1342719:2414
8Singleton Strikers1333714:3012
9South Cardiff1331911:2410
10Toronto Awaba Stags13301016:349