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Dudley Redhead United vs Lake Macquarie Prediction & H2H Stats

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Northern NSW State League
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AI Match Summary

The Northern NSW State League game between Dudley Redhead United and Lake Macquarie finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lake Macquarie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dudley Redhead United
20%
Draws
52%
Lake Macquarie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lake Macquarie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lake Macquarie come out ahead of Dudley Redhead United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lake Macquarie a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Northern NSW State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lake Macquarie have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Dudley Redhead United Clean Sheet 10%
Lake Macquarie Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dudley Redhead United Lake Macquarie
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.47 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Lake Macquarie vs Dudley Redhead United
7:2
Apr 12, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Dudley Redhead United vs Lake Macquarie
1:3
Jun 20, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Lake Macquarie vs Dudley Redhead United
2:3
Apr 6, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Dudley Redhead United vs Lake Macquarie
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dudley Redhead United 10 / 100
Lake Macquarie 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dudley Redhead United Lake Macquarie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lake Macquarie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lake Macquarie let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

Dudley Redhead United found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Dudley Redhead United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dudley Redhead United VS Lake Macquarie
0.88 Goals Scored 4
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dudley Redhead United

(Home)
15 Aug
Singleton Strikers
2 : 4
Dudley Redhead United
08 Aug
Dudley Redhead United
1 : 0
New Lambton
02 Aug
Dudley Redhead United
0 : 2
Newcastle Croatia
26 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 0
Dudley Redhead United
11 Jul
Cessnock City Hornets
2 : 1
Dudley Redhead United
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Lake Macquarie

(Away)
15 Aug
Toronto Awaba Stags
1 : 4
Lake Macquarie
09 Aug
Lake Macquarie
2 : 2
South Cardiff
01 Aug
Lake Macquarie
3 : 0
Singleton Strikers
25 Jul
New Lambton
1 : 5
Lake Macquarie
11 Jul
Newcastle Croatia
1 : 2
Lake Macquarie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lake Macquarie 18 13 2 3 64:24 41
2 Wallsend Red Devils 18 12 4 2 58:26 40
3 Newcastle Croatia 18 11 0 7 45:37 33
4 New Lambton 18 10 2 6 41:30 32
5 Dudley Redhead United 18 8 4 6 26:26 28
6 Cessnock City Hornets 18 6 2 10 31:40 20
7 West Wallsend FC 18 5 4 9 27:47 19
8 Singleton Strikers 18 5 3 10 20:42 18
9 South Cardiff 18 3 4 11 15:32 13
10 Toronto Awaba Stags 18 4 1 13 23:46 13
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Main)
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)