Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dugo Selo vs Jadran Porec

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Dzalto M.
35' Event
Milicevic M.
75' Event
Vlasic F.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2024/2025 game between Dugo Selo and Jadran Porec finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dugo Selo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Dugo Selo
15%
Draws
0%
Jadran Porec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dugo Selo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dugo Selo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dugo Selo a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 20%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dugo Selo Jadran Porec
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 1
Losses 15 26
Goals Scored 0.87 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Jadran Porec
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 Druga NL
Jadran Porec vs Dugo Selo
2:5
May 4, 2024 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Jadran Porec
1:1
Oct 28, 2023 Druga NL
Jadran Porec vs Dugo Selo
1:1
May 13, 2023 Druga NL
Jadran Porec vs Dugo Selo
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dugo Selo Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzalto M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milicevic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Jadran Porec Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernobic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dugo Selo 85 / 100
Jadran Porec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dugo Selo Jadran Porec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dugo Selo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jadran Porec conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Jadran Porec has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Solid form: Dugo Selo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dugo Selo VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dugo Selo

(Home)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
1 : 0
Uskok Klis
22 Aug
Solin
1 : 1
Dugo Selo
30 May
Trnje
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
23 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 0
Lucko
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Jadran Porec

(Away)
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0
Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Trnje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hrvace 30 20 4 6 71:41 64
2 Karlovac 30 19 5 6 50:20 62
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 16 7 7 62:38 55
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 16 7 7 55:32 55
5 Solin 30 17 3 10 54:33 54
6 Bjelovar 30 16 6 8 56:37 54
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
8 Kustosija 30 13 9 8 51:40 48
9 Uljanik Pula 30 10 6 14 41:45 36
10 Trnje 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
11 Segesta 30 10 4 16 50:69 34
12 Dragovoljac 30 9 5 16 36:45 32
13 Marsonia 30 10 1 19 40:75 31
14 Dugo Selo 30 8 6 16 45:60 30
15 Grobnican 30 8 4 18 33:59 28
16 Jadran Porec 30 3 3 24 25:74 12
Promotion - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)