Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dugo Selo vs Marsonia

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Medimorec B.
13' Event
Petkovic F.
57' Event
Milicevic M.

AI Match Summary

Dugo Selo in this Druga NL 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dugo Selo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Dugo Selo
15%
Draws
36%
Marsonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dugo Selo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marsonia lately — more wins on the board than Dugo Selo.
  • Win probability leans Dugo Selo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Druga NL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 20%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dugo Selo Marsonia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 1
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.87 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Marsonia
4:0
Oct 5, 2024 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Dugo Selo
0:3
Mar 16, 2024 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Dugo Selo
1:2
Sep 9, 2023 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Marsonia
0:3
Jun 3, 2023 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Marsonia
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dugo Selo Compare

Top Goalscorer Medimorec B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petkovic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Marsonia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dugo Selo 67 / 100
Marsonia 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dugo Selo Marsonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dugo Selo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marsonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Dugo Selo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dugo Selo's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dugo Selo VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dugo Selo

(Home)
30 May
Trnje
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
23 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 0
Lucko
16 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 0
Grobnican
09 May
Kustosija
4 : 0
Dugo Selo
02 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 1
Uskok Klis
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Marsonia

(Away)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hrvace 30 20 4 6 71:41 64
2 Karlovac 30 19 5 6 50:20 62
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 16 7 7 62:38 55
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 16 7 7 55:32 55
5 Solin 30 17 3 10 54:33 54
6 Bjelovar 30 16 6 8 56:37 54
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
8 Kustosija 30 13 9 8 51:40 48
9 Uljanik Pula 30 10 6 14 41:45 36
10 Trnje 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
11 Segesta 30 10 4 16 50:69 34
12 Dragovoljac 30 9 5 16 36:45 32
13 Marsonia 30 10 1 19 40:75 31
14 Dugo Selo 30 8 6 16 45:60 30
15 Grobnican 30 8 4 18 33:59 28
16 Jadran Porec 30 3 3 24 25:74 12
Promotion - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)