Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dugo Selo vs Pitomaca

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2023/2024
Tue, Aug 29, 2023
3 - 2
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Barisic T.
48' Event
Begovic I.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Matancic M.

AI Match Summary

Dugo Selo in this Croatian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Dugo Selo
15%
Draws
26%
Pitomaca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dugo Selo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dugo Selo lately — more wins on the board than Pitomaca.
  • Dugo Selo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Dugo Selo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dugo Selo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 68%
Pitomaca Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dugo Selo Pitomaca
Matches Played 34 9
Wins 12 2
Draws 8 1
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2023 Croatian Cup
Dugo Selo vs Pitomaca
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dugo Selo Compare

Top Goalscorer Barisic T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Janusic T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Pitomaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Matancic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dugo Selo 68 / 100
Pitomaca 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dugo Selo Pitomaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dugo Selo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Pitomaca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 9 matches.

Recent resilience: Dugo Selo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Pitomaca registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dugo Selo VS Pitomaca
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dugo Selo

(Home)
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
1 : 0
Uskok Klis
Page 1 of 7

Pitomaca

(Away)
18 Jul
Pitomaca
0 : 0
Bjelovar
27 Aug
NK Koprivnica
1 : 0
Pitomaca
11 Sept
Pitomaca
1 : 2
Rudes
28 Aug
Sava Strmec
0 : 7
Pitomaca
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
3 : 2
Pitomaca
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Vukovar 1991 4
Granicar Kotoriba 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Dugo Selo 3
Pitomaca 2
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Vardarac Vardaroc 1
Karlovac 2
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Gospic 2
Kutjevo 4
TBD -
Osijek -
Granicar Zupanja 0
Croatia Zmijavci 3
TBD -
Rudes -
Jalzabet 1
Moslavina 3
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Cibalia -
TBD -
TBD -
NK Zagreb -
NK Libertas Novska 1
Medjimurec 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
NK Tomislav Drnje 1
Jadran Luka Ploce 4
Belisce 3
Novi Marof 0
Tigar Sveta Nedelja 0
Omladinac Gornja Vrba 2
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Papuk Orahovica 1
Grobnican 29
TBD -
Varazdin -
Rudar Labin 2
Zagora 3
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Jadran Porec 2
Mladost Zdralovi 1
TBD -
Oriolik -
Bilogora 0
Ponikve 2
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zagorec Krapina 1
Omladinac Staro Topolje 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Primorac Biograd 0
Radnik Krizevci 2
TBD -
Sibenik -
1/16-finals
Vukovar 1991 4
Bijelo Brdo 1
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Karlovac 2
Jaska Vinogradar 1
Kutjevo 1
Osijek 4
Croatia Zmijavci 0
Rudes 1
Moslavina 2
Slaven Belupo 4
Cibalia 6
NK Zagreb 0
NK Libertas Novska 0
Rijeka 9
Jadran Luka Ploce 2
Belisce 1
Omladinac Gornja Vrba 0
Hajduk Split 6
Grobnican 0
Varazdin 1
Zagora 0
Istra 1961 2
Jadran Porec 0
Oriolik 1
Ponikve 1
Din. Zagreb 4
Zagorec Krapina 0
HNK Gorica 2
Radnik Krizevci 4
Sibenik 3
1/8-finals
Vukovar 1991 1
Lok. Zagreb 2
Karlovac 0
Osijek 1
Rudes 3
Slaven Belupo 1
Cibalia 1
Rijeka 3
Jadran Luka Ploce 0
Hajduk Split 2
Varazdin 3
Istra 1961 2
Oriolik 0
Din. Zagreb 8
HNK Gorica 4
Radnik Krizevci 0
Quarter-finals
Lok. Zagreb 1
Osijek 0
Rudes 0
Rijeka 1
Hajduk Split 5
Varazdin 0
Din. Zagreb 4
HNK Gorica 0
Semi-finals
Lok. Zagreb 0
Rijeka 1
Hajduk Split 0
Din. Zagreb 1
Final
Rijeka 1
Din. Zagreb 3