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Duhok vs Al Gharraf Prediction & H2H Stats

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026 Duhok Stadium, Duhok
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Gwargis P.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Konate M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Duhok
35%
Draws
9%
Al Gharraf
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Duhok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Duhok have won more games recently than Al Gharraf.
  • Model gives Duhok a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Stars League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Duhok Clean Sheet 68%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duhok Al Gharraf
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.32 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Gharraf
1:1
Apr 23, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Gharraf
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Duhok
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duhok Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Al Gharraf Compare

Top Goalscorer Konate M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duhok 95 / 100
Al Gharraf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duhok Al Gharraf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duhok Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Al Gharraf has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Duhok has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Duhok VS Al Gharraf
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Duhok

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
Page 1 of 7

Al Gharraf

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1
Al Gharraf
08 Sept
Al Gharraf
1 : 2
Al Shorta
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Al Gharraf
30 Aug
Al Gharraf
0 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)