Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duhok vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Iraq Iraq

Stars League Duhok Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Gwargis P.
45' Event
Al Sabhi I.
90' Event
Jawad M.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Duhok and Al Quwa Al Jawiya finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Duhok
44%
Draws
20%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Quwa Al Jawiya come out ahead of Duhok on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Duhok Clean Sheet 16%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duhok Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 22
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:2
Dec 30, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Duhok
0:2
Jul 12, 2025 Iraq Cup
Duhok vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3:1
May 19, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Duhok
4:0
Jan 14, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duhok Compare

Top Goalscorer Gwargis P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Sabhi I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jawad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duhok 36 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duhok Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Duhok stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Al Quwa Al Jawiya conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Duhok VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966