Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duhok vs Al Talaba

Iraq Iraq

Stars League Duhok Stadium, Duhok
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Darwiche K.
69'
Allee A.
69'
Allee A.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Duhok and Al Talaba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Duhok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Duhok
39%
Draws
31%
Al Talaba
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Talaba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Duhok Clean Sheet 68%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duhok Al Talaba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Talaba
1:0
Oct 3, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Duhok
2:1
May 14, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Talaba
1:0
May 10, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Duhok
0:0
Jun 19, 2024 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Duhok
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duhok Compare

Top Goalscorer Darwiche K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Talaba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duhok 41 / 100
Al Talaba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duhok Al Talaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Talaba let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Duhok remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Duhok VS Al Talaba
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Duhok

(Home)
20 Jul
Duhok
2 : 0
Tikves
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0
Duhok
27 May
Duhok
1 : 2
Al Kahraba
19 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
15 May
Al Mosul
3 : 3
Duhok
Page 1 of 6

Al Talaba

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al Karkh
28 May
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Al Talaba
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
11 May
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)