Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Duhok have averaged 1.33 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Erbil's 1.7 scored and 0.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Erbil slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.13, favoring Erbil. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Erbil lately — more wins on the board than Duhok.
- Model gives Erbil a 41% chance of winning this.
- Erbil arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Erbil, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Erbil here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Duhok | Erbil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 19 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Duhok scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Duhok remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Erbil let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.
