Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duhok vs Newroz

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026 Duhok Stadium, Duhok
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Dawood Yaseen M.
81' Event
Neto Acara
90' Event
Hussein M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Newroz in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newroz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Duhok
35%
Draws
14%
Newroz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Duhok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Duhok haven't matched Newroz's recent run of results.
  • Duhok are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Stars League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Duhok Clean Sheet 68%
Newroz Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duhok Newroz
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.22 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Duhok
0:0
Mar 2, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Newroz
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Stars League
Newroz vs Duhok
0:2
Jun 29, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Newroz
1:4
Dec 29, 2024 Stars League
Newroz vs Duhok
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duhok Compare

Top Goalscorer Dawood Yaseen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Newroz Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto Acara
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duhok 50 / 100
Newroz 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duhok Newroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duhok Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duhok went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Duhok found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Newroz has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Duhok VS Newroz
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Duhok

(Home)
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
26 Aug
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
22 Aug
Duhok
3 : 3
Al Talaba
16 Aug
Duhok
1 : 1
Al Gharraf
20 Jul
Duhok
2 : 0
Tikves
Page 1 of 6

Newroz

(Away)
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
26 Aug
Al Talaba
1 : 0
Newroz
22 Aug
Al Gharraf
1 : 0
Newroz
14 Aug
Newroz
3 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
01 Jun
Al Naft
2 : 1
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)