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Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Koln - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Duisburg host FC Viktoria Koln in the 3. Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Duisburg have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against FC Viktoria Koln's 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Duisburg have won 1 to FC Viktoria Koln's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 2.00) point toward Duisburg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Duisburg
15%
Draws
44%
FC Viktoria Koln
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Viktoria Koln

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • FC Viktoria Koln's 2.2 goals per match outpaces what Duisburg have produced (1.97).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 10%
FC Viktoria Koln Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duisburg FC Viktoria Koln
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 17
Draws 6 2
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.97 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 3. Liga
Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Koln
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 3. Liga
FC Viktoria Koln vs Duisburg
0:0
Feb 17, 2024 3. Liga
Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Koln
1:0
Sep 23, 2023 3. Liga
FC Viktoria Koln vs Duisburg
2:0
Apr 17, 2023 3. Liga
FC Viktoria Koln vs Duisburg
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duisburg 30 / 100
FC Viktoria Koln 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duisburg FC Viktoria Koln

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Viktoria Koln Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Duisburg scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

FC Viktoria Koln's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Duisburg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Duisburg VS FC Viktoria Koln
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Duisburg

(Home)
10 Oct
Duisburg
3 : 2
Hoffenheim II
20 Sept
Wehen
1 : 4
Duisburg
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Duisburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Duisburg
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FC Viktoria Koln

(Away)
11 Oct
Alemannia Aachen
2 : 5
FC Viktoria Koln
03 Oct
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 2
1. FC Koln
19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0
Ingolstadt
15 Sept
Meppen
1 : 3
FC Viktoria Koln
11 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
4 : 0
Hansa Rostock
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 9 8 0 1 26:11 24
2 FC Viktoria Koln 8 6 0 2 24:11 18
3 RW Essen 9 5 3 1 18:12 18
4 Hansa Rostock 9 4 3 2 17:17 15
5 Saarbrucken 9 4 2 3 21:16 14
6 Mannheim 8 4 1 3 16:11 13
7 Hoffenheim II 9 4 1 4 18:14 13
8 Preussen Munster 8 3 3 2 15:16 12
9 Alemannia Aachen 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Dusseldorf 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
11 VfB Stuttgart II 9 3 2 4 16:18 11
12 Verl 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
13 Fortuna Koln 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
14 Meppen 9 3 1 5 11:16 10
15 Regensburg 8 2 2 4 18:17 8
16 Wurzburger Kickers 9 2 2 5 13:19 8
17 Ingolstadt 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
18 Wehen 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
19 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
20 TSV Havelse 9 1 2 6 12:22 5
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)