Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Engelns L.
17' Event
Lobinger L.
Assist: Kruger F.
33'
Luhrs Y.

AI Match Summary

Duisburg in this 3. Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Duisburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Duisburg
15%
Draws
34%
Hoffenheim II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Duisburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Hoffenheim II haven't matched Duisburg's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 18%
Hoffenheim II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duisburg Hoffenheim II
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.89 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II
3:1
Nov 21, 2025 3. Liga
Hoffenheim II vs Duisburg
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duisburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Lobinger L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Noss C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hoffenheim II Compare

Top Goalscorer Luhrs Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duisburg 32 / 100
Hoffenheim II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duisburg Hoffenheim II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoffenheim II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duisburg scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Hoffenheim II has conceded goals in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Duisburg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Duisburg VS Hoffenheim II
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Duisburg

(Home)
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Duisburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Duisburg
29 Aug
Duisburg
3 : 0
Wurzburger Kickers
22 Aug
Duisburg
1 : 3
Elversberg
15 Aug
Verl
2 : 4
Duisburg
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Hoffenheim II

(Away)
06 Sept
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 0
Hoffenheim II
29 Aug
Hoffenheim II
5 : 1
Regensburg
15 Aug
Dusseldorf
0 : 2
Hoffenheim II
09 Aug
Hoffenheim II
2 : 3
Hansa Rostock
01 Aug
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 1
Hoffenheim II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfL Osnabruck 38 24 8 6 66:34 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 72
3 RW Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 70
4 Duisburg 38 19 11 8 66:49 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 64
8 Munich 1860 38 15 11 12 54:53 56
9 Wehen 38 15 8 15 54:52 53
10 Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 52
11 FC Viktoria Koln 38 15 6 17 51:53 51
12 Ingolstadt 38 13 10 15 65:56 49
13 Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 49
14 VfB Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 46
15 Saarbrucken 38 10 14 14 51:57 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 43
17 TSV Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 35
18 Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 34
19 Ulm 38 9 6 23 49:78 33
20 1. FC Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 21
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)