Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Duisburg vs VfL Osnabruck

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Sub
Fabinski R. In: Janotta T.
Out: Fabinski R.
30' Event
Kruger F.
56'
Wiemann N.

AI Match Summary

Duisburg in this 3. Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Duisburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Duisburg
39%
Draws
31%
VfL Osnabruck
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VfL Osnabruck lately — more wins on the board than Duisburg.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 68%
VfL Osnabruck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duisburg VfL Osnabruck
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 3. Liga
Duisburg vs VfL Osnabruck
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 3. Liga
VfL Osnabruck vs Duisburg
0:0
Jan 28, 2023 3. Liga
Duisburg vs VfL Osnabruck
1:2
Jul 22, 2022 3. Liga
VfL Osnabruck vs Duisburg
1:0
Feb 2, 2022 3. Liga
Duisburg vs VfL Osnabruck
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duisburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kruger F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

VfL Osnabruck Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duisburg 41 / 100
VfL Osnabruck 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duisburg VfL Osnabruck

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duisburg has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Duisburg found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

VfL Osnabruck has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Duisburg VS VfL Osnabruck
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1VfL Osnabruck38248666:3480
2Energie Cottbus38219872:5172
3RW Essen382010878:6670
4Duisburg381911866:4968
5Hansa Rostock381813774:4967
6Verl3818101082:4864
7Alemannia Aachen381971276:5764
8Munich 18603815111254:5356
9Wehen381581554:5253
10Mannheim381571659:7252
11FC Viktoria Koln381561751:5351
12Ingolstadt3813101565:5649
13Regensburg381471754:5849
14VfB Stuttgart II381371857:6946
15Saarbrucken3810141451:5744
16Hoffenheim II381271965:7143
17TSV Havelse38982157:8935
18Aue387131851:7034
19Ulm38962349:7833
201. FC Schweinfurt38562738:8721