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Dukagjini vs Drenica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Superliga
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dukagjini host Drenica in the Superliga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Dukagjini at 1.31 goals for, 1.16 against; Drenica at 1.28 for, 1.34 against. Past meetings favor Dukagjini slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.25, favoring Dukagjini. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dukagjini
30%
Draws
33%
Drenica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dukagjini

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dukagjini come out ahead of Drenica on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dukagjini Clean Sheet 19%
Drenica Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dukagjini Drenica
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Superliga
Drenica vs Dukagjini
0:0
May 3, 2026 Superliga
Dukagjini vs Drenica
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 Superliga
Drenica vs Dukagjini
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 Superliga
Dukagjini vs Drenica
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 Superliga
Drenica vs Dukagjini
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dukagjini 32 / 100
Drenica 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dukagjini Drenica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dukagjini scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Drenica conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dukagjini stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dukagjini VS Drenica
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dukagjini

(Home)
11 Oct
Prishtina
0 : 0
Dukagjini
20 Sept
Dukagjini
1 : 2
Drita
14 Sept
FC Ballkani
0 : 0
Dukagjini
10 Sept
Dukagjini
2 : 0
Malisheva
05 Sept
Llapi
1 : 2
Dukagjini
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Drenica

(Away)
13 Oct
Gjilani
3 : 0
Drenica
10 Oct
Drenica
2 : 2
Feronikeli
02 Oct
Partizani
2 : 1
Drenica
20 Sept
Drenica
4 : 0
Llapi
13 Sept
Vushtrria
0 : 3
Drenica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malisheva 8 6 1 1 20:6 19
2 Prishtina 7 6 1 0 18:4 19
3 Gjilani 9 4 2 3 13:9 14
4 Drita 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
5 Dukagjini 8 3 4 1 8:5 13
6 FC Ballkani 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
7 Drenica 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
8 Feronikeli 8 2 1 5 7:15 7
9 Llapi 8 1 0 7 8:22 3
10 Vushtrria 8 1 0 7 4:20 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation)