Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Bavidge A.
Assist: Millen R.
22'
22'
MacLeod C.
Assist: Longstaff L.
23'
23'
McKay B.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-9, with Inverness advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inverness
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dumbarton haven't matched Inverness's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Inverness arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Inverness, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%
Inverness Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dumbarton | Inverness |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 17 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 16, 2025 Challenge Cup
Dumbarton vs Inverness
0:9
Mar 8, 2025 League One
Dumbarton vs Inverness
0:1
Jan 4, 2025 League One
Inverness vs Dumbarton
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 League One
Dumbarton vs Inverness
3:1
Aug 3, 2024 League One
Inverness vs Dumbarton
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dumbarton Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Inverness Compare
Top Goalscorer Bavidge A.
4 Goals Assists Leader McKay B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dumbarton 34 / 100
Inverness 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dumbarton Inverness
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Inverness Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Dumbarton scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Inverness conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
Dumbarton went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dumbarton VS Inverness
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Dumbarton
(Home) 22 Aug
Kelty Hearts
3 : 1 Dumbarton
15 Aug
Dumbarton
0 : 3 Edinburgh City
11 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 3 Airdrieonians
08 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 0 Clyde
01 Aug
Stirling
2 : 0 Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Dumbarton
0 : 3 Edinburgh City
11 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 3 Airdrieonians
08 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 0 Clyde
25 Jul
Dumbarton
2 : 0 Cove Rangers
11 Jul
Dumbarton
0 : 4 St. Mirren
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Inverness
(Away) 21 Aug
Inverness
1 : 1 Partick
16 Aug
Hearts
6 : 2 Inverness
08 Aug
Arbroath
0 : 0 Inverness
01 Aug
Inverness
0 : 0 Dunfermline
25 Jul
Morton
0 : 1 Inverness
Page 1 of 7
16 Aug
Hearts
6 : 2 Inverness
08 Aug
Arbroath
0 : 0 Inverness
25 Jul
Morton
0 : 1 Inverness
18 Jul
Linlithgow Rose
0 : 2 Inverness
07 Jul
Cove Rangers
1 : 4 Inverness
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Arbroath 3
Kelty Hearts 2
Elgin City 2
East Fife 3
Alloa 2
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 2
Spartans 1
Queen's Park 2
Clyde 1
Forfar Athletic 2
Edinburgh City 1
Raith 5
Hamilton 2
Queen of the South 4
Dunfermline 3
Hearts B 0
St Johnstone 1
Ross County 4
Celtic B 0
Ayr 2
Peterhead 1
East Kilbride 1
Stranraer 4
Cove Rangers 1
Partick 2
Dumbarton 0
Inverness 9
Stirling 3
Morton 2
Stenhousemuir 2
Annan 0
1/8-finals
Arbroath 3
East Fife 0
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 1
Queen's Park 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Raith 1
Queen of the South 0
St Johnstone 2
Ross County 0
Ayr 4
Stranraer 1
Partick 3
Inverness 4
Stirling 1
Stenhousemuir 2
Quarter-finals
Arbroath 2
Airdrieonians 3
Queen's Park 1
Raith 2
St Johnstone 3
Ayr 4
Inverness 1
Stenhousemuir 0
Semi-finals
Airdrieonians 1
Raith 2
Ayr 1
Inverness 2
Final
Raith 4
Inverness 1
