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Dumbarton vs Rangers B Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton
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Match Events

57' Event
Webster K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Dumbarton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dumbarton
15%
Draws
34%
Rangers B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dumbarton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Dumbarton haven't matched Rangers B's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Dumbarton taking it.
  • Rangers B arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rangers B, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Rangers B have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%
Rangers B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumbarton Rangers B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 1
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.37 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Dumbarton vs Rangers B
1:0
Aug 23, 2022 Challenge Cup
Rangers B vs Dumbarton
7:0
Aug 11, 2021 Challenge Cup
Dumbarton vs Rangers B
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer Webster K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Rangers B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 40 / 100
Rangers B 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumbarton Rangers B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rangers B let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Dumbarton scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Dumbarton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dumbarton VS Rangers B
0.88 Goals Scored 2.2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0
Spartans
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
08 Sept
Cove Rangers
6 : 1
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6

Rangers B

(Away)
26 Sept
Queen of the South
4 : 2
Rangers B
22 Sept
Clyde
1 : 2
Rangers B
08 Sept
Stirling
3 : 2
Rangers B
25 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
2 : 1
Rangers B
11 Aug
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 4
Rangers B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 6 6 0 0 26:4 18
2 Stenhousemuir 6 6 0 0 18:2 18
3 Montrose 6 5 1 0 18:9 16
4 East Fife 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
5 Stranraer 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
6 East Kilbride 6 4 0 2 13:11 12
7 Forfar Athletic 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
8 Edinburgh City 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
9 Spartans 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
10 Elgin City 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
11 Dumbarton 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
12 Annan 6 3 1 2 15:10 10
13 Alloa 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
14 Kelty Hearts 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
15 Clyde 6 3 1 2 14:12 10
16 Queen of the South 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
17 Hamilton 6 3 1 2 13:8 9
18 Stirling 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
19 Cove Rangers 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
20 Peterhead 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
21 Celtic B 6 2 0 4 12:15 6
22 Hearts B 6 2 0 4 9:14 6
23 Hibernian B 6 1 2 3 11:14 5
24 St. Mirren B 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
25 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:18 3
26 Aberdeen B 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
27 Motherwell B 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
28 Rangers B 6 0 0 6 6:16 0
29 Kilmarnock B 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
30 Dundee FC B 6 0 0 6 4:21 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)