Sport Picks

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Dumbarton vs Rangers B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Dumbarton Football Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dumbarton play Rangers B in the Challenge Cup. Rangers B are favorites here. Recently, Dumbarton averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Rangers B averaged 2.27 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Dumbarton won 1, Rangers B won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 11, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Dumbarton and 1.00 for Rangers B. This points to a Rangers B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dumbarton
15%
Draws
57%
Rangers B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rangers B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Dumbarton picked up more points recently compared to Rangers B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 23%
Rangers B Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dumbarton Rangers B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 7 1
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.07 2.27
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Dumbarton vs Rangers B
1:0
Aug 23, 2022 Challenge Cup
Rangers B vs Dumbarton
7:0
Aug 11, 2021 Challenge Cup
Dumbarton vs Rangers B
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer Webster K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Rangers B Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 30 / 100
Rangers B 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dumbarton Rangers B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rangers B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Rangers B & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dumbarton attacking → ← attacking Rangers B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumbarton scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Rangers B let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Dumbarton went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Rangers B lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 55
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210