Sport Picks
Dumbarton vs St. Mirren B
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Dumbarton Football Stadium, Dumbarton 
Match Events
20'
20'
Tomlinson S.
35'
35'
Johnston C.
Assist: Roy A.
55'
55'
Mooney E.
Assist: O'Brien F.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-2, with Dumbarton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dumbarton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Dumbarton carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on St. Mirren B taking it.
- Dumbarton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Dumbarton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%
St. Mirren B Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dumbarton | St. Mirren B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 17 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 2.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.24 | 2.34 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup
Dumbarton vs St. Mirren B
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dumbarton Compare
Top Goalscorer Tomlinson S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Johnston C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.62
St. Mirren B Compare
Top Goalscorer Mooney E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Taylor F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.13
Avg xA / game 1.3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dumbarton 14 / 100
St. Mirren B 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dumbarton St. Mirren B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Mirren B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: St. Mirren B conceded in 100% of 17 recent games.
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Dumbarton scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Dumbarton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dumbarton VS St. Mirren B
0.88 Goals Scored 2.8
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.6
88% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Dumbarton
(Home) 26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0 Spartans
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1 Dumbarton
08 Sept
Cove Rangers
6 : 1 Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2 Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0 Spartans
05 Sept
Dumbarton
2 : 1 Elgin City
25 Aug
Dumbarton
2 : 2 Celtic B
Page 1 of 4
St. Mirren B
(Away) 26 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 4 St. Mirren B
22 Sept
Clydebank FC
2 : 1 St. Mirren B
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 St. Mirren B
25 Aug
East Fife
2 : 5 St. Mirren B
11 Aug
Clyde
1 : 4 St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 4
26 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 4 St. Mirren B
22 Sept
Clydebank FC
2 : 1 St. Mirren B
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 St. Mirren B
25 Aug
East Fife
2 : 5 St. Mirren B
11 Aug
Clyde
1 : 4 St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 4 | East Fife | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 6 | East Kilbride | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Spartans | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Elgin City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Dumbarton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Annan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 15 | Clyde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Queen of the South | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Hamilton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 9 |
| 18 | Stirling | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 19 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 20 | Peterhead | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Celtic B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 22 | Hearts B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 23 | Hibernian B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 24 | St. Mirren B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 25 | Dundee Utd B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:18 | 3 |
| 26 | Aberdeen B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
| 27 | Motherwell B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | 1 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 0 |
| 29 | Kilmarnock B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:19 | 0 |
| 30 | Dundee FC B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:21 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
