Sport Picks

Scotland

League Two 2025/2026 Dumbarton Football Stadium

Stirling

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dumbarton play Stirling in the League Two 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dumbarton averaged 1.04 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. Stirling averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Dumbarton won 2, Stirling won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Dumbarton and 1.69 for Stirling. This points to a Stirling double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Dumbarton

30%

Draws

39%

Stirling

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stirling

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Dumbarton picked up more points recently compared to Stirling.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Dumbarton Clean Sheet 13%

Stirling Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dumbarton	Stirling
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	5	9
Draws	7	8
Losses	16	14
Goals Scored	1.04	1.35
Goals Conceded	2.14	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 League Two

Dumbarton vs Stirling

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Feb 28, 2026 League Two

Stirling vs Dumbarton

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Dec 27, 2025 League Two

Dumbarton vs Stirling

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Oct 4, 2025 League Two

Stirling vs Dumbarton

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Jul 15, 2025 League Cup

Dumbarton vs Stirling

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dumbarton Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomlinson S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Honeyman S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Stirling Compare

Top Goalscorer Hilson D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dumbarton 31 / 100

Stirling 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dumbarton Stirling

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Stirling or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dumbarton attacking → ← attacking Stirling

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumbarton scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Stirling let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Dumbarton went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Stirling lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 35

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	East Kilbride	36	21	6	9	77:46	69
2	Spartans	36	18	10	8	60:39	64
3	Clyde	36	14	14	8	58:41	56
4	Forfar Athletic	36	13	11	12	51:47	50
5	Stranraer	36	12	11	13	46:46	47
6	Elgin City	36	11	11	14	51:55	44
7	Annan	36	10	11	15	47:58	41
8	Stirling	36	9	11	16	46:63	38
9	Dumbarton	36	10	10	16	47:61	35
10	Edinburgh City	36	10	9	17	45:72	24