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Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Gradski stadion, Ruse
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dunav Ruse host Spartak Varna in the efbet League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Dunav Ruse at 0.85 goals for, 1.26 against; Spartak Varna at 1.1 for, 1.52 against. Past meetings favor Spartak Varna slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.19, favoring Spartak Varna. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Dunav Ruse
35%
Draws
39%
Spartak Varna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spartak Varna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Dunav Ruse haven't matched Spartak Varna's recent run of results.
  • 26% — that's where the model lands on Dunav Ruse taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunav Ruse Spartak Varna
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.85 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Spartak Varna vs Dunav Ruse
0:0
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna
1:3
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Spartak Varna vs Dunav Ruse
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 Vtora liga
Spartak Varna vs Dunav Ruse
3:1
Jan 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Spartak Varna vs Dunav Ruse
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunav Ruse 67 / 100
Spartak Varna 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunav Ruse Spartak Varna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunav Ruse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Varna let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Dunav Ruse scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Dunav Ruse stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunav Ruse VS Spartak Varna
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunav Ruse

(Home)
03 Oct
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Dunav Ruse
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Spartak Varna

(Away)
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0
Spartak Varna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)