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Dunav Selanovtsi vs Chavdar Troyan

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2012/2013 game between Dunav Selanovtsi and Chavdar Troyan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dunav Selanovtsi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dunav Selanovtsi
20%
Draws
33%
Chavdar Troyan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dunav Selanovtsi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dunav Selanovtsi come out ahead of Chavdar Troyan on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Dunav Selanovtsi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Dunav Selanovtsi Clean Sheet 20%
Chavdar Troyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunav Selanovtsi Chavdar Troyan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.8 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2013 Third League - North-West
Chavdar Troyan vs Dunav Selanovtsi
1:6
Oct 12, 2012 Third League - North-West
Dunav Selanovtsi vs Chavdar Troyan
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunav Selanovtsi 85 / 100
Chavdar Troyan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunav Selanovtsi Chavdar Troyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunav Selanovtsi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Dunav Selanovtsi scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Chavdar Troyan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Dunav Selanovtsi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dunav Selanovtsi VS Chavdar Troyan
2.5 Goals Scored 1
0.83 Goals Conceded 4.5
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunav Selanovtsi

(Home)
02 Jun
Gorna
3 : 1
Dunav Selanovtsi
26 May
Dunav Selanovtsi
3 : 0
Lokomotiv Mezdra 1929
19 May
Dunav Selanovtsi
0 : 0
Akademik Svishtov
08 May
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 6
Dunav Selanovtsi
03 May
Dunav Selanovtsi
5 : 1
Balkan Belogradchik
Page 1 of 6

Chavdar Troyan

(Away)
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 22 16 2 4 61:14 50
2 Parva Atomna 22 15 4 3 46:15 49
3 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 14 1 7 56:28 43
4 Dunav Selanovtsi 22 12 4 6 39:25 40
5 Lokomotiv Mezdra 1929 22 11 1 10 42:38 34
6 Gorna 22 9 4 9 40:26 31
7 OFK Levski 22 9 4 9 34:32 31
8 Belene 22 9 2 11 30:27 29
9 Sitomir 22 7 6 9 29:37 27
10 Chavdar Troyan 22 5 4 13 25:70 19
11 Tryavna 22 3 3 16 17:61 12
12 Balkan Belogradchik 22 1 7 14 19:65 10
Promotion - B PFG 2013/2014 (Main)