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Dundalk vs Galway United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Oriel Park, Dundalk
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
McCarthy E.
Assist: Walsh S.
32'
Kavanagh L.
37'
Animasahun M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Dundalk and Galway United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Galway United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Dundalk
20%
Draws
70%
Galway United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Galway United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Dundalk's 1.76 goals per match outpaces what Galway United have produced (1.5).
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Galway United taking it.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 10%
Galway United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundalk Galway United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.76 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Galway United
1:2
Jun 12, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Dundalk
0:1
Apr 17, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Galway United
2:1
Mar 6, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Dundalk
2:2
Oct 4, 2024 Premier Division
Galway United vs Dundalk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundalk Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Galway United Compare

Top Goalscorer McCarthy E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Twardek K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundalk 14 / 100
Galway United 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundalk Galway United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galway United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dundalk scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Galway United let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Dundalk went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dundalk VS Galway United
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundalk

(Home)
02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2
Bohemians
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
Page 1 of 6

Galway United

(Away)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 32 18 8 6 52:32 62
2 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
3 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
4 Shelbourne 33 10 13 10 47:46 43
5 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
6 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 33 8 10 15 39:54 34
10 Sligo Rovers 33 5 8 20 25:59 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)