Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dundee FC vs St. Mirren

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Dens Park, Dundee
Dundee FC Logo

Dundee FC

1 - 0
FT
St. Mirren Logo

St. Mirren

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Westley J.
15'
Devaney J.
28'
Mandron M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dundee FC in this Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dundee FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dundee FC
20%
Draws
29%
St. Mirren
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dundee FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Dundee FC at 1.61 per game, St. Mirren at 1.33.
  • Model gives Dundee FC a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Dundee FC Clean Sheet 68%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundee FC St. Mirren
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.61 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Premiership
Dundee FC vs St. Mirren
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Dundee FC
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Premiership
Dundee FC vs St. Mirren
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Dundee FC
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Premiership
Dundee FC vs St. Mirren
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundee FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Westley J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

St. Mirren Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee FC 86 / 100
St. Mirren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundee FC St. Mirren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundee FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundee FC scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

St. Mirren has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Dundee FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dundee FC VS St. Mirren
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundee FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
30 Aug
Dundee FC
1 : 2
Hibernian
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
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St. Mirren

(Away)
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Dundee Utd 38 10 15 13 49:60 45
8 Dundee FC 38 11 9 18 42:61 42
9 Aberdeen 38 11 7 20 40:55 40
10 Kilmarnock 38 10 10 18 50:68 40
11 St. Mirren 38 8 10 20 30:55 34
12 Livingston 38 2 15 21 40:75 21
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship (Main)