Sport Picks

Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Dens Park

Match Events

12'

Westley J.

15'

Devaney J.

28'

Mandron M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dundee FC host St. Mirren in the Premiership 2025/2026. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Dundee FC have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against St. Mirren's 1.63 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Dundee FC have won 3 to St. Mirren's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.63, favoring Dundee FC. Dundee FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Dundee FC

28%

Draws

50%

St. Mirren

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: St. Mirren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Dundee FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to St. Mirren.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for St. Mirren.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premiership 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Dundee FC Clean Sheet 14%

St. Mirren Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dundee FC	St. Mirren
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	11	10
Draws	6	5
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	1.88	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.63	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Premiership

Dundee FC vs St. Mirren

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Jan 31, 2026 Premiership

St. Mirren vs Dundee FC

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Nov 29, 2025 Premiership

Dundee FC vs St. Mirren

Possession: 52% - 60% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Sep 27, 2025 Premiership

St. Mirren vs Dundee FC

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Apr 5, 2025 Premiership

Dundee FC vs St. Mirren

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundee FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Westley J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

St. Mirren Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee FC 23 / 100

St. Mirren 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dundee FC St. Mirren

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundee FC scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

St. Mirren let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Dundee FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

St. Mirren lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dundee FC VS St. Mirren

1.88 Goals Scored 1.63

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Dundee Utd	38	10	15	13	49:60	45
8	Dundee FC	38	11	9	18	42:61	42
9	Aberdeen	38	11	7	20	40:55	40
10	Kilmarnock	38	10	10	18	50:68	40
11	St. Mirren	38	8	10	20	30:55	34
12	Livingston	38	2	15	21	40:75	21