Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Tannadice Park, Dundee

Dundee Utd

3 - 0

Arbroath

Our Tip

Match Events

Randall J.

37'

Sapsford Z.

Assist: Metsoko I.

46'

Sub

Agyei E. In: Eskesen J.

Out: Agyei E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Dundee Utd advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Dundee Utd

28%

Draws

22%

Arbroath

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Dundee Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Dundee Utd come out ahead of Arbroath on wins alone.
Dundee Utd are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Dundee Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Dundee Utd, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Dundee Utd here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 19%

Arbroath Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dundee Utd	Arbroath
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	11	9
Draws	7	9
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup

Dundee Utd vs Arbroath

3:0

Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly

Arbroath vs Dundee Utd

1:1

Mar 9, 2024 Championship

Dundee Utd vs Arbroath

4:0

Jan 2, 2024 Championship

Arbroath vs Dundee Utd

0:3

Oct 27, 2023 Championship

Dundee Utd vs Arbroath

6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundee Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Sapsford Z.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Metsoko I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Arbroath Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee Utd 49 / 100

Arbroath 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dundee Utd Arbroath

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Dundee Utd's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Arbroath has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Dundee Utd has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dundee Utd VS Arbroath

1 Goals Scored 1.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundee Utd

(Home)

18 Jul

Dundee Utd

3 : 0

Arbroath

14 Jul

Montrose

1 : 0

Dundee Utd

11 Jul

Stirling

0 : 1

Dundee Utd

17 May

St. Mirren

1 : 1

Dundee Utd

12 May

Dundee Utd

0 : 0

Livingston

Page 1 of 6

Arbroath

(Away)

18 Jul

Dundee Utd

3 : 0

Arbroath

14 Jul

Arbroath

1 : 2

Hearts

11 Jul

Spartans

1 : 2

Arbroath

04 Jul

Arbroath

4 : 1

Brechin

30 Jun

Dunipace

0 : 4

Arbroath

Page 1 of 6