Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dundee Utd vs Ayr

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup Tannadice Park, Dundee
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Murphy J.
45'
Rus M.
45'
Fatah A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dundee Utd
20%
Draws
52%
Ayr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayr have won more games recently than Dundee Utd.
  • Model gives Ayr a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Ayr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dundee Utd, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dundee Utd here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 12%
Ayr Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dundee Utd Ayr
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Scottish Cup
Dundee Utd vs Ayr
2:0
Jul 20, 2024 League Cup
Dundee Utd vs Ayr
2:1
Apr 20, 2024 Championship
Dundee Utd vs Ayr
1:0
Feb 3, 2024 Championship
Ayr vs Dundee Utd
1:2
Dec 9, 2023 Championship
Dundee Utd vs Ayr
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dundee Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Moller N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ayr Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dundee Utd 27 / 100
Ayr 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dundee Utd Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AYR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundee Utd found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Ayr has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Dundee Utd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dundee Utd VS Ayr
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dundee Utd

(Home)
09 Aug
Hearts
4 : 0
Dundee Utd
31 Jul
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Rangers
25 Jul
Salford
3 : 2
Dundee Utd
21 Jul
Dundee Utd
4 : 0
Spartans
18 Jul
Dundee Utd
3 : 0
Arbroath
Page 1 of 6

Ayr

(Away)
08 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 1
Ayr
01 Aug
Ayr
2 : 0
Arbroath
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1
Alloa
18 Jul
Ayr
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
14 Jul
Falkirk
0 : 1
Ayr
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde -
TBD -
TBD -
Annan -
Lossiemouth 1
Formartine Utd 2
Huntly 1
Buckie Thistle 3
Stranraer -
TBD -
Glenafton 3
Invergordon 2
Jeanfield Swifts 0
Clydebank FC 4
Newtongrange Star 1
East Stirlingshire 3
Boness Athletic 2
Keith 1
Linlithgow Rose 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
Coldstream 2
Tayport FC 3
Auchinleck Talbot 2
Cumnock Juniors 1
Carluke Rovers FC 0
Gretna 2008 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
East Fife -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arbroath -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 2
Albion Rovers 1
Johnstone Burgh 4
Threave Rovers 0
Edinburgh City -
TBD -
Stirling University 6
Burntisland Shipyard 2
Elgin City -
TBD -
Darvel FC 1
Deveronvale 3
Forres Mechanics 0
Caledonian Braves 2
TBD -
Stirling -
Musselburgh 2
Bonnyton Thistle 0
TBD -
Forfar Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
Wick Academy 5
Rothes 0
Cowdenbeath 1
Benburb 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montrose -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lochee United 1
Brechin 3
Civil Service Strollers 2
Dundonald Bluebell 3
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cove Rangers -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boness United 0
Banks O' Dee 3
Brora Rangers 0
Fraserburgh 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clachnacuddin 2
Kilwinning Rangers 1
Inverurie Loco Works 0
Sauchie 2
Peterhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berwick 0
Nairn County 2
Turriff United 2
Hill Of Beath 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Cumbernauld Colts 4
Glasgow University 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Broxburn Athletic 1
Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
East Kilbride -
Tranent FC 3
Pollok 0
Strathspey Thistle 1
Dundee North End 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inverness -
1/64-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde 2
Annan 3
Formartine Utd 0
Buckie Thistle 2
Stranraer 4
Glenafton 0
Clydebank FC 3
East Stirlingshire 1
Boness Athletic 0
Linlithgow Rose 2
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Dumbarton 2
Tayport FC 0
Auchinleck Talbot 3
Gretna 2008 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
East Fife -
TBD -
TBD -
Arbroath -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 1
Johnstone Burgh 0
Edinburgh City 1
Stirling University 0
Elgin City 2
Deveronvale 1
Caledonian Braves 3
Stirling 4
Musselburgh 1
Forfar Athletic 2
TBD -
Partick -
Wick Academy 1
Benburb 2
TBD -
Montrose -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
Brechin 3
Dundonald Bluebell 1
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Cove Rangers -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banks O' Dee 4
Fraserburgh 0
TBD -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
Clachnacuddin 2
Sauchie 0
Peterhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr -
TBD -
Nairn County 1
Turriff United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Cumbernauld Colts 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Spartans 2
East Kilbride 1
Tranent FC 3
Dundee North End 0
TBD -
Inverness -
1/32-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
Annan 4
Buckie Thistle 0
Stranraer 2
Clydebank FC 1
Linlithgow Rose 1
Queen's Park 3
Dumbarton 0
Auchinleck Talbot 4
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians 4
Hamilton 0
East Fife 0
Arbroath 2
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 2
Edinburgh City 1
Elgin City 4
Stirling 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Partick 2
Benburb 0
Montrose 3
Dunfermline 2
Queen of the South 1
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts 2
Brechin 0
St Johnstone 1
Cove Rangers 2
Aberdeen -
TBD -
Raith 1
Alloa 0
Motherwell -
TBD -
Banks O' Dee 0
Ross County 2
Stenhousemuir 4
Clachnacuddin 1
Peterhead 2
Morton 3
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr 3
Turriff United 0
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
Spartans 2
Tranent FC 1
Inverness 2
1/16-finals
Rangers 5
Annan 0
Stranraer 2
Queen's Park 1
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Celtic 2
Kilmarnock 1
Dundee FC 2
Airdrieonians 4
Arbroath 3
Livingston 1
St. Mirren 2
Camelon Juniors 1
Elgin City 3
Partick 3
Montrose 1
Dunfermline 1
Hibernian 0
Kelty Hearts 2
Cove Rangers 1
Aberdeen 1
Raith 0
Motherwell 1
Ross County 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Morton 0
Hearts 1
Falkirk 2
Ayr 0
Dundee Utd 2
Spartans 1
Inverness 0
1/8-finals
Rangers 8
Queen's Park 0
Celtic 2
Dundee FC 1
Airdrieonians 1
St. Mirren 2
Elgin City 2
Partick 3
Dunfermline 2
Kelty Hearts 0
Aberdeen 2
Motherwell 0
Stenhousemuir 0
Falkirk 2
Dundee Utd 2
Spartans 1
Quarter-finals
Rangers 0
Celtic 1
St. Mirren 2
Partick 1
Dunfermline 3
Aberdeen 0
Falkirk 2
Dundee Utd 1
Semi-finals
Celtic 6
St. Mirren 2
Dunfermline 1
Falkirk 0
Final
Celtic 3
Dunfermline 1