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Dunedin vs Caversham

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2003
Dunedin Logo

Dunedin

0 - 1
FT
Caversham Logo

Caversham

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2003 game between Dunedin and Caversham finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caversham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dunedin
15%
Draws
42%
Caversham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunedin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dunedin come out ahead of Caversham on wins alone.
  • Dunedin are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Dunedin Clean Sheet 11%
Caversham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunedin Caversham
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.56 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2003 Football Championship
Dunedin vs Caversham
0:1
Mar 16, 2003 Football Championship
Dunedin vs Caversham
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunedin 47 / 100
Caversham 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunedin Caversham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunedin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunedin scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Caversham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Caversham's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunedin VS Caversham
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunedin

(Home)
09 Aug
Dunedin
1 : 2
Mangere United
11 Jul
Dunedin
6 : 1
Mosgiel
27 Jul
Dunedin
0 : 3
Cashmere Technical
28 Jun
Dunedin
1 : 0
Otago University
21 Jul
Miramar
5 : 1
Dunedin
Page 1 of 7

Caversham

(Away)
03 Aug
Caversham
1 : 2
Bay Olympic
07 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
2 : 3
Caversham
15 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 0
Caversham
06 Aug
Waitakere City
3 : 1
Caversham
16 Jul
Queenstown Rovers
0 : 1
Caversham
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 18 11 0 7 46:29 33
2 East Auckland 18 10 3 5 34:24 33
3 Central United 18 10 1 7 44:29 31
4 Napier City 18 9 2 7 29:28 29
5 Manawatu 18 8 3 7 32:29 27
6 Canterbury 18 7 5 6 34:34 26
7 North Shore 18 6 5 7 30:34 23
8 Caversham 18 5 5 8 19:26 20
9 Dunedin 18 6 2 10 24:38 20
10 Tauranga 18 4 2 12 20:41 14
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)