Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunfermline vs Hibernian

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup East End Park, Dunfermline
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Sub
Mulligan J. In: Chaiwa M.
Out: Mulligan J.
61'
Sub
Hoilett J. In: Cadden N.
Out: Hoilett J.
61'
Sub
Newell J. In: Barlaser D.
Out: Newell J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dunfermline
30%
Draws
33%
Hibernian
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dunfermline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Dunfermline carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dunfermline's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Dunfermline have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hibernian, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 17%
Hibernian Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunfermline Hibernian
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Scottish Cup
Dunfermline vs Hibernian
1:0
Jul 6, 2019 Club Friendly
Dunfermline vs Hibernian
1:3
Jul 6, 2017 Club Friendly
Dunfermline vs Hibernian
0:4
Apr 1, 2017 Championship
Dunfermline vs Hibernian
1:1
Feb 25, 2017 Championship
Hibernian vs Dunfermline
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunfermline 84 / 100
Hibernian 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunfermline Hibernian

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunfermline has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dunfermline scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Hibernian's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dunfermline VS Hibernian
2 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunfermline

(Home)
08 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 1
Ayr
01 Aug
Inverness
0 : 0
Dunfermline
26 Jul
St. Mirren
0 : 1
Dunfermline
21 Jul
Dunfermline
5 : 0
Cove Rangers
14 Jul
Dunfermline
4 : 1
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 7

Hibernian

(Away)
13 Aug
Shkendija Tetovo
0 : 0
Hibernian
09 Aug
Rangers
1 : 2
Hibernian
06 Aug
Hibernian
2 : 1
Shkendija Tetovo
02 Aug
Hibernian
1 : 2
Motherwell
30 Jul
Hibernian
4 : 1
Malisheva
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde -
TBD -
TBD -
Annan -
Lossiemouth 1
Formartine Utd 2
Huntly 1
Buckie Thistle 3
Stranraer -
TBD -
Glenafton 3
Invergordon 2
Jeanfield Swifts 0
Clydebank FC 4
Newtongrange Star 1
East Stirlingshire 3
Boness Athletic 2
Keith 1
Linlithgow Rose 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
Coldstream 2
Tayport FC 3
Auchinleck Talbot 2
Cumnock Juniors 1
Carluke Rovers FC 0
Gretna 2008 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
East Fife -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arbroath -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 2
Albion Rovers 1
Johnstone Burgh 4
Threave Rovers 0
Edinburgh City -
TBD -
Stirling University 6
Burntisland Shipyard 2
Elgin City -
TBD -
Darvel FC 1
Deveronvale 3
Forres Mechanics 0
Caledonian Braves 2
TBD -
Stirling -
Musselburgh 2
Bonnyton Thistle 0
TBD -
Forfar Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
Wick Academy 5
Rothes 0
Cowdenbeath 1
Benburb 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montrose -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lochee United 1
Brechin 3
Civil Service Strollers 2
Dundonald Bluebell 3
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cove Rangers -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boness United 0
Banks O' Dee 3
Brora Rangers 0
Fraserburgh 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clachnacuddin 2
Kilwinning Rangers 1
Inverurie Loco Works 0
Sauchie 2
Peterhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berwick 0
Nairn County 2
Turriff United 2
Hill Of Beath 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Cumbernauld Colts 4
Glasgow University 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Broxburn Athletic 1
Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
East Kilbride -
Tranent FC 3
Pollok 0
Strathspey Thistle 1
Dundee North End 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inverness -
1/64-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde 2
Annan 3
Formartine Utd 0
Buckie Thistle 2
Stranraer 4
Glenafton 0
Clydebank FC 3
East Stirlingshire 1
Boness Athletic 0
Linlithgow Rose 2
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Dumbarton 2
Tayport FC 0
Auchinleck Talbot 3
Gretna 2008 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
East Fife -
TBD -
TBD -
Arbroath -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 1
Johnstone Burgh 0
Edinburgh City 1
Stirling University 0
Elgin City 2
Deveronvale 1
Caledonian Braves 3
Stirling 4
Musselburgh 1
Forfar Athletic 2
TBD -
Partick -
Wick Academy 1
Benburb 2
TBD -
Montrose -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
Brechin 3
Dundonald Bluebell 1
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Cove Rangers -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banks O' Dee 4
Fraserburgh 0
TBD -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
Clachnacuddin 2
Sauchie 0
Peterhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr -
TBD -
Nairn County 1
Turriff United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Cumbernauld Colts 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Spartans 2
East Kilbride 1
Tranent FC 3
Dundee North End 0
TBD -
Inverness -
1/32-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
Annan 4
Buckie Thistle 0
Stranraer 2
Clydebank FC 1
Linlithgow Rose 1
Queen's Park 3
Dumbarton 0
Auchinleck Talbot 4
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians 4
Hamilton 0
East Fife 0
Arbroath 2
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 2
Edinburgh City 1
Elgin City 4
Stirling 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Partick 2
Benburb 0
Montrose 3
Dunfermline 2
Queen of the South 1
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts 2
Brechin 0
St Johnstone 1
Cove Rangers 2
Aberdeen -
TBD -
Raith 1
Alloa 0
Motherwell -
TBD -
Banks O' Dee 0
Ross County 2
Stenhousemuir 4
Clachnacuddin 1
Peterhead 2
Morton 3
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr 3
Turriff United 0
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
Spartans 2
Tranent FC 1
Inverness 2
1/16-finals
Rangers 5
Annan 0
Stranraer 2
Queen's Park 1
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Celtic 2
Kilmarnock 1
Dundee FC 2
Airdrieonians 4
Arbroath 3
Livingston 1
St. Mirren 2
Camelon Juniors 1
Elgin City 3
Partick 3
Montrose 1
Dunfermline 1
Hibernian 0
Kelty Hearts 2
Cove Rangers 1
Aberdeen 1
Raith 0
Motherwell 1
Ross County 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Morton 0
Hearts 1
Falkirk 2
Ayr 0
Dundee Utd 2
Spartans 1
Inverness 0
1/8-finals
Rangers 8
Queen's Park 0
Celtic 2
Dundee FC 1
Airdrieonians 1
St. Mirren 2
Elgin City 2
Partick 3
Dunfermline 2
Kelty Hearts 0
Aberdeen 2
Motherwell 0
Stenhousemuir 0
Falkirk 2
Dundee Utd 2
Spartans 1
Quarter-finals
Rangers 0
Celtic 1
St. Mirren 2
Partick 1
Dunfermline 3
Aberdeen 0
Falkirk 2
Dundee Utd 1
Semi-finals
Celtic 6
St. Mirren 2
Dunfermline 1
Falkirk 0
Final
Celtic 3
Dunfermline 1