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Dunfermline vs Ross County Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

League Cup East End Park, Dunfermline
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kane Ch. In: Morrison C.
Out: Kane Ch.
49'
Tod J.
58' Event
Lindsay J.
Assist: Turner J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Dunfermline
15%
Draws
46%
Ross County
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ross County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ross County carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ross County's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Ross County arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ross County, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 12%
Ross County Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunfermline Ross County
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 21
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.34 3.13
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League Cup
Dunfermline vs Ross County
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Championship
Ross County vs Dunfermline
2:2
Mar 3, 2026 Championship
Dunfermline vs Ross County
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
Ross County vs Dunfermline
3:2
Aug 30, 2025 Championship
Dunfermline vs Ross County
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunfermline Compare

Top Goalscorer Oyirwoth A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ross County Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindsay J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunfermline 10 / 100
Ross County 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunfermline Ross County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ross County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Dunfermline scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Ross County let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Dunfermline went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunfermline VS Ross County
0.86 Goals Scored 2.75
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 100%
14% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunfermline

(Home)
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1
Dunfermline
12 Sept
Dunfermline
2 : 0
Queen's Park
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1
Dunfermline
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Dunfermline
Page 1 of 6

Ross County

(Away)
26 Sept
Ross County
14 : 0
Hearts B
22 Sept
Clachnacuddin
1 : 5
Ross County
19 Sept
Cove Rangers
0 : 2
Ross County
15 Sept
Ross County
8 : 0
Queen of the South
12 Sept
Ross County
0 : 3
Hibernian
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Stenhousemuir 1
Motherwell 0
Hearts 6
Inverness 2
Dunfermline 1
Ross County 2
Hibernian 1
Partick 0
Rangers 5
St. Mirren 1
Dundee Utd 0
Celtic 4
Kilmarnock 3
Ayr 2
Aberdeen 3
Dundee FC 0
Quarter-finals
Stenhousemuir 0
Hearts 3
Ross County 0
Hibernian 3
Rangers 3
Celtic 0
Kilmarnock 1
Aberdeen 2
Semi-finals
Hearts -
Hibernian -
Rangers -
Aberdeen -
Final
TBD -
TBD -