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Dungannon vs Coleraine Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Stangmore Park, Dungannon
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Sub
Stewart C. In: Henderson J.
Out: Stewart C.
45' Event
Henderson J.
55' Event
Doherty B.

AI Match Summary

Coleraine in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coleraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dungannon
15%
Draws
54%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Dungannon haven't matched Coleraine's recent run of results.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Coleraine have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 16%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dungannon Coleraine
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 21
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.62 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
1:3
May 2, 2026 Irish Cup
Dungannon vs Coleraine
2:3
Mar 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Dungannon
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dungannon Compare

Top Goalscorer McAllister S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Henderson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doherty B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dungannon 31 / 100
Coleraine 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dungannon Coleraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Dungannon scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Coleraine conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Dungannon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dungannon VS Coleraine
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dungannon

(Home)
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
29 Aug
Cliftonville
0 : 2
Dungannon
Page 1 of 6

Coleraine

(Away)
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 9 7 1 1 19:8 22
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Crusaders 9 5 0 4 15:14 15
5 Glentoran 9 4 1 4 13:10 13
6 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
7 Cliftonville 9 4 0 5 12:11 12
8 Carrick Rangers 9 3 1 5 11:15 10
9 Ballymena 8 2 3 3 12:11 9
10 Limavady 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
11 Bangor FC 9 1 2 6 8:19 5
12 Portadown 9 0 1 8 5:19 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)