Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dungannon vs Coleraine

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup Windsor Park, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Shevlin M.
46' Event
Cooper J.
54'
Sub
McGinty C. In: Smith C.
Out: McGinty C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dungannon
20%
Draws
33%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dungannon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coleraine come out ahead of Dungannon on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dungannon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Coleraine arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Coleraine, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Coleraine have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 19%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dungannon Coleraine
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 19
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.79 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
1:3
May 2, 2026 Irish Cup
Dungannon vs Coleraine
2:3
Mar 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Dungannon
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dungannon Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mitchell A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Shevlin M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cooper J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dungannon 85 / 100
Coleraine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dungannon Coleraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dungannon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dungannon's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Coleraine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Dungannon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dungannon VS Coleraine
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dungannon

(Home)
22 Aug
Dungannon
2 : 0
Bangor FC
15 Aug
Portadown
0 : 1
Dungannon
08 Aug
Dungannon
1 : 3
Coleraine
01 Aug
Moyola
0 : 3
Dungannon
25 Jul
Harland & Wolff
1 : 1
Dungannon
Page 1 of 6

Coleraine

(Away)
22 Aug
Carrick Rangers
0 : 2
Coleraine
15 Aug
Coleraine
0 : 0
Larne
08 Aug
Dungannon
1 : 3
Coleraine
30 Jul
Coleraine
0 : 3
HJK
23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0
Coleraine
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TBD -
Loughgall -
Wakehurst 2
Knockbreda 4
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newbuildings 1
Moyola 2
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Comber Rec 3
Hanover 1
Ballymacash 4
Willowbank 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Armagh -
TBD -
Newry City 1
Drumaness 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Finaghy FC 2
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Limavady -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 5
Dergview 4
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Loughgall 2
Knockbreda 0
Ballinamallard 0
Institute 3
Cliftonville 3
Dundela 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Portadown 4
Annagh 2
Dungannon 3
Ards 0
Moyola 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Comber Rec 0
Ballymacash 3
Strabane Athletic 0
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Drumaness 4
Lisburn Distillery 3
Warrenpoint 4
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Limavady 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Linfield 1
Bangor FC 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Queens University 1
Coleraine 4
Crusaders 0
1/8-finals
Loughgall 2
Institute 1
Cliftonville 2
Glenavon 1
Portadown 1
Dungannon 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ballymacash 0
Glentoran 5
Drumaness 0
Warrenpoint 0
Larne 2
Limavady 1
Linfield 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Coleraine 4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall 0
Cliftonville 3
Dungannon 3
Harland & Wolff 0
Glentoran 1
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Coleraine 2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Larne 1
Coleraine 2
Final
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 3