Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dungiven vs Newtowne FC

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Newtowne FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Dungiven
15%
Draws
51%
Newtowne FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newtowne FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Newtowne FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Newtowne FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Newtowne FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Dungiven Clean Sheet 10%
Newtowne FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dungiven Newtowne FC
Matches Played 16 16
Wins 8 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2015 Irish Cup
Dungiven vs Newtowne FC
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dungiven 29 / 100
Newtowne FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dungiven Newtowne FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dungiven Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dungiven scored in 100% of their last 16 games.

Newtowne FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 15 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Dungiven has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dungiven VS Newtowne FC
2.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dungiven

(Home)
17 Aug
Banbridge
2 : 1
Dungiven
03 Nov
Larne Technical Old Boys
2 : 1
Dungiven
29 Sept
Dunmurry Rec
1 : 4
Dungiven
18 Aug
Dungiven
5 : 2
Iveagh Utd
30 Sept
Queens University
7 : 2
Dungiven
Page 1 of 4

Newtowne FC

(Away)
28 Sept
Newtowne FC
0 : 2
Newington FC
17 Aug
Newtowne FC
:
Drumaness
03 Nov
Newtowne FC
1 : 2
Rosemount Rec
29 Sept
Newtowne FC
1 : 0
Ballynahinch Olympic
18 Aug
Newtowne FC
6 : 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Linfield -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Ballymena -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 3
Dromore Amateurs 0
Bloomfield 1
Desertmartin 4
Ballywalter Recreation 4
Iveagh Utd 2
Foundry 0
Tandragee 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
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Dergview -
Newtowne FC 5
Dungiven 1
TBD -
Groomsport -
Newcastle 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Colin Valley 1
Dromara 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Immaculata 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Laurelvale 1
Dunmurry Y.M. 8
Rathcoole 3
Ballymacash 2
Craigavon City 3
Lower Maze 4
TBD -
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Dundela -
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Cliftonville -
Portadown -
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Glebe -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
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Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
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TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 2
Saintfield 1
Bryansburn 2
Killyleagh Youth 3
Malachians 1
Grove 0
Windmill 0
Comber Rec 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
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Wellington Rec 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Rosario Youth 7
Rathfern Rangers 4
Richhill 2
Ballynahinch United 2
Valley Rangers 4
TBD -
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Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
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Donegal -
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Glentoran -
PSNI -
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Newington FC -
Queens University -
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Tobermore -
Larne -
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Limavady -
Trojans 2
Islandmagee 1
Orangefield Old Boys' 1
Derriaghy 4
Seapatrick 1
Killymoon 0
Portaferry Rovers 0
Banbridge Rangers 3
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Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
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Crumlin United 3
Nortel 2
TBD -
Seagoe -
Moneyslane FC 2
Barn 1
Chimney 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
TBD -
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TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars -
TBD -
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Larne Technical Old Boys -
Shankill 4
Donard 2
Markethill 1
St. Patricks Young 2
St. Marys 3
Fivemiletown 2
TBD -
Downpatrick -
Strabane Athletic 11
Kilmore Rec 0
East Belfast 1
Ards Rangers 2
Ballyclare -
TBD -
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Dundonald 3
Broomhill 2
Drumaness 1
Dunloy 4
Newry City 5
Ardstraw 1
Shorts 0
Crumlin Star 3
Dungannon -
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Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers -
TBD -
Newbuildings 2
Crewe 3
Brantwood 2
Magherafelt 1
Ballynure Old Boys 1
Sirocco 2
Dunmurry Rec -
TBD -
Ballymoney 1
Hanover 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Mossley FC 1
U. U. Jordanstown 1
Abbey Villa 4
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Crusaders -
1/128-finals
Linfield -
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Ballymena -
Portstewart -
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TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 2
Desertmartin 1
Ballywalter Recreation 0
Tandragee 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Newtowne FC 4
Groomsport 1
Newcastle 1
Dromara 2
TBD -
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Institute -
Immaculata 10
Dunmurry Y.M. 0
Rathcoole 1
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
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Dundela -
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Cliftonville -
Portadown -
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TBD -
Glebe -
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Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 3
Killyleagh Youth 1
Malachians 0
Comber Rec 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Rosario Youth 1
Rathfern Rangers 1
Valley Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Trojans 6
Derriaghy 1
Seapatrick 0
Banbridge Rangers 2
TBD -
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TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United 9
Seagoe 1
Moneyslane FC 2
Downshire Y.M. 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars 3
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Shankill 1
St. Patricks Young 4
St. Marys 3
Downpatrick 1
Strabane Athletic 1
Ards Rangers 4
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundonald 10
Dunloy 2
Newry City 1
Crumlin Star 2
Dungannon -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Crewe 0
Brantwood 2
Sirocco 3
Dunmurry Rec 5
Hanover 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Abbey Villa 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 3
Tandragee 0
TBD -
Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Newtowne FC 3
Dromara 2
TBD -
Institute -
Immaculata 4
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 4
Comber Rec 3
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Valley Rangers 0
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Trojans 5
Banbridge Rangers 1
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United 3
Downshire Y.M. 2
TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars 1
St. Patricks Young 0
St. Marys 1
Ards Rangers 4
Ballyclare -
TBD -
Dundonald 0
Crumlin Star 5
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Sirocco 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
Abbey Villa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart 3
Moyola 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Armagh 3
Sport & Leisure 6
Dergview 1
Newtowne FC 1
Institute 2
Immaculata 2
Dundela 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
Glebe 1
Wakehurst 2
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda 3
Lisburn Distillery 2
Dollingstown 1
Annagh 2
Bangor FC 5
Coagh Utd 0
Ardglass 0
Lurgan Celtic 4
Glenavon -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ards 7
Donegal 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI 2
Newington FC 1
Queens University 1
Tobermore 2
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Trojans 1
Loughgall 2
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Crumlin United 3
Banbridge 4
Oxford Stars 3
Ards Rangers 2
Ballyclare 0
Crumlin Star 1
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Abbey Villa 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Linfield 2
Ballymena 1
Portstewart 2
Armagh 3
Sport & Leisure 3
Institute 2
Immaculata 0
Cliftonville 2
Portadown 6
Wakehurst 1
Ballinamallard 2
Coleraine 3
Knockbreda 5
Annagh 1
Bangor FC 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Glenavon 4
Harland & Wolff 1
Ards 1
Glentoran 4
PSNI 2
Tobermore 0
Larne 2
Loughgall 5
Carrick Rangers 2
Banbridge 0
Oxford Stars 2
Crumlin Star 3
Dungannon 4
Warrenpoint 3
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Crusaders 3
1/8-finals
Linfield 7
Armagh 0
Sport & Leisure 0
Cliftonville 4
Portadown 3
Coleraine 1
Knockbreda 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glenavon 4
Glentoran 1
PSNI 0
Loughgall 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Crumlin Star 0
Dungannon 1
Crusaders 3
Quarter-finals
Linfield 3
Cliftonville 0
Portadown 2
Lurgan Celtic 3
Glenavon 2
Loughgall 1
Carrick Rangers 0
Crusaders 3
Semi-finals
Linfield 3
Lurgan Celtic 0
Glenavon 4
Crusaders 3
Final
Linfield 0
Glenavon 2