Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunkerque vs Boulogne

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Burlet V.
26'
Yassine G.
50'
Linguet A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Dunkerque and Boulogne finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Dunkerque
17%
Draws
13%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Dunkerque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Boulogne haven't matched Dunkerque's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Dunkerque taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 68%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunkerque Boulogne
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Dunkerque
2:6
Nov 16, 2025 Coupe de France
Boulogne vs Dunkerque
2:3
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Boulogne
1:1
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Dunkerque vs Boulogne
1:5
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Boulogne vs Dunkerque
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunkerque Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinet T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Bultel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunkerque 77 / 100
Boulogne 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunkerque Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Dunkerque scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Boulogne conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Dunkerque went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunkerque VS Boulogne
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunkerque

(Home)
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1
Samsunspor
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0
St. Liege
10 Jul
Anderlecht
2 : 1
Dunkerque
04 Jul
Dunkerque
0 : 2
Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6

Boulogne

(Away)
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 Jul
Amiens SC
0 : 1
Boulogne
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
08 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)