Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunkerque vs Boulogne

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Burlet V.
26'
Yassine G.
50'
Linguet A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Dunkerque and Boulogne finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dunkerque
35%
Draws
29%
Boulogne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dunkerque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Boulogne haven't matched Dunkerque's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Dunkerque taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 20%
Boulogne Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunkerque Boulogne
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Boulogne vs Dunkerque
2:6
Nov 16, 2025 Coupe de France
Boulogne vs Dunkerque
2:3
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Boulogne
1:1
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Dunkerque vs Boulogne
1:5
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Boulogne vs Dunkerque
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunkerque Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinet T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Boulogne Compare

Top Goalscorer Bultel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunkerque 36 / 100
Boulogne 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunkerque Boulogne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Dunkerque scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

Solid form: Dunkerque remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Boulogne let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunkerque VS Boulogne
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunkerque

(Home)
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
14 Aug
Reims
3 : 3
Dunkerque
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Boulogne

(Away)
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
14 Aug
Guingamp
1 : 0
Boulogne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)