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Dunkerque vs Carquefou

France France

National 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Madri M.

AI Match Summary

Dunkerque in this National 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunkerque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Dunkerque
30%
Draws
12%
Carquefou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dunkerque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Carquefou haven't matched Dunkerque's recent run of results.
  • Dunkerque are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 68%
Carquefou Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunkerque Carquefou
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 13
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2014 Ligue 3
Dunkerque vs Carquefou
1:0
Sep 13, 2013 Ligue 3
Carquefou vs Dunkerque
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunkerque Compare

Top Goalscorer Madri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Carquefou Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunkerque 68 / 100
Carquefou 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunkerque Carquefou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunkerque Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dunkerque scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Carquefou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Dunkerque remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Carquefou lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunkerque VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunkerque

(Home)
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
14 Aug
Reims
3 : 3
Dunkerque
08 Aug
Dunkerque
4 : 2
Grenoble
01 Aug
KV Mechelen
0 : 0
Dunkerque
Page 1 of 6

Carquefou

(Away)
13 Nov
Carquefou
0 : 1
US Tregunc
16 Nov
Fougeres
2 : 1
Carquefou
23 May
GFC Ajaccio
4 : 1
Carquefou
16 May
Carquefou
1 : 2
Amiens SC
09 May
Luzenac
2 : 2
Carquefou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orleans 34 17 14 3 46:22 65
2 Luzenac 34 17 12 5 51:30 63
3 GFC Ajaccio 34 17 9 8 45:27 60
4 Colmar 34 13 11 10 37:39 50
5 Dunkerque 34 12 14 8 35:30 50
6 Amiens SC 34 12 13 9 32:24 49
7 Red Star 34 12 12 10 37:33 48
8 Carquefou 34 11 14 9 32:30 47
9 Paris FC 34 11 13 10 32:27 46
10 Frejus Saint Raphael 34 12 10 12 35:35 44
11 Bourg Peronnas 34 11 10 13 38:45 43
12 Lucon 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Le Poire Sur Vie 34 11 8 15 37:52 41
14 Boulogne 34 11 7 16 36:40 40
15 Colomiers 34 10 9 15 39:39 39
16 Strasbourg 34 8 11 15 36:40 35
17 Vannes 34 6 14 14 35:45 29
18 Pont Du Gard 34 5 8 21 25:61 23
Promotion - Ligue 2 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2014/2015 (Main)