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Dunkerque vs Grenoble - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sarikaya E.
21' Event
Mayela V.
Assist: Daho A.
45' Event
Diaby Y.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Dunkerque and Grenoble finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dunkerque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dunkerque
30%
Draws
47%
Grenoble
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grenoble

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dunkerque come out ahead of Grenoble on wins alone.
  • Model gives Grenoble a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 14%
Grenoble Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunkerque Grenoble
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 13
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.52 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Grenoble
4:2
May 2, 2026 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Grenoble
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs Dunkerque
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Grenoble
2:0
Nov 8, 2024 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs Dunkerque
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunkerque Compare

Top Goalscorer Prutsev E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mayela V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Grenoble Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaby Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunkerque 19 / 100
Grenoble 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunkerque Grenoble

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grenoble Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dunkerque scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Grenoble let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Dunkerque stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunkerque VS Grenoble
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunkerque

(Home)
02 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 4
RAAL La Louviere
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
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Grenoble

(Away)
02 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
18 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 1
Clermont
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
04 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 2
Annecy
28 Aug
Laval
0 : 3
Grenoble
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19:8 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9:7 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15:9 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4:5 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
10 Pau 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14:16 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4:6 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3:5 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)