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Dunkerque vs Metz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dunkerque host Metz in the Ligue 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Dunkerque at 1.14 goals for, 1.61 against; Metz at 1.57 for, 1.64 against. Past meetings favor Metz slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2025, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.38) point toward Metz. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Dunkerque
35%
Draws
39%
Metz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Metz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Dunkerque haven't matched Metz's recent run of results.
  • Metz are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Metz have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 17%
Metz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunkerque Metz
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Metz vs Dunkerque
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Metz
2:3
Dec 9, 2024 Ligue 2
Metz vs Dunkerque
2:0
Jan 7, 2018 Coupe de France
Dunkerque vs Metz
2:4
Dec 13, 1995 Coupe de la Ligue
Metz vs Dunkerque
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunkerque 15 / 100
Metz 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunkerque Metz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metz let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Dunkerque's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Dunkerque remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunkerque VS Metz
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunkerque

(Home)
09 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Annecy
02 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 4
RAAL La Louviere
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
Page 1 of 6

Metz

(Away)
19 Sept
Metz
2 : 2
St Etienne
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0
Metz
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
29 Aug
Annecy
1 : 1
Metz
22 Aug
Metz
1 : 1
Laval
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
2 Red Star 8 5 2 1 12:9 17
3 Montpellier 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
4 Reims 8 3 5 0 15:9 14
5 Nancy 8 4 1 3 9:7 13
6 Annecy 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
7 Pau 8 3 2 3 9:8 11
8 Sochaux 8 2 5 1 5:6 11
9 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
10 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
11 Guingamp 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
12 Dunkerque 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
13 Nantes 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
14 Grenoble 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
15 Rodez 8 2 1 5 14:18 7
16 Boulogne 8 0 6 2 4:6 6
17 Clermont 8 0 6 2 6:9 6
18 Laval 8 1 2 5 10:17 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)