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Dunkerque vs Montpellier

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dunkerque host Montpellier in the Ligue 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Montpellier have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Dunkerque have conceded 1.44 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, Dunkerque have won 2 to Montpellier's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 5, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.69) point toward Montpellier. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Dunkerque
20%
Draws
35%
Montpellier
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dunkerque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Dunkerque haven't matched Montpellier's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dunkerque's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Dunkerque have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 13%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunkerque Montpellier
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2026 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Dunkerque
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Montpellier
0:1
Jan 3, 2009 Coupe de France
Montpellier vs Dunkerque
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunkerque 39 / 100
Montpellier 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunkerque Montpellier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunkerque Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dunkerque found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (25 games).

Montpellier let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Dunkerque VS Montpellier
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunkerque

(Home)
08 Aug
Dunkerque
4 : 2
Grenoble
01 Aug
KV Mechelen
0 : 0
Dunkerque
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1
Samsunspor
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0
St. Liege
Page 1 of 5

Montpellier

(Away)
08 Aug
Montpellier
1 : 1
Dijon
01 Aug
Montpellier
4 : 2
Rodez
25 Jul
Clermont
0 : 1
Montpellier
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4
Cannes
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3 Rodez 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Metz 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Annecy 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Red Star 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Dijon 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Montpellier 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Nancy 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Clermont 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Reims 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Guingamp 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Nantes 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Pau 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Grenoble 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
17 Laval 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Sochaux 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)