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Dunkerque vs Montpellier - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Mouanga Y.
46'
Sub
Mayela V. In: Vallier L.
Out: Mayela V.
46'
Sub
Prutsev E. In: Keita S.
Out: Prutsev E.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Dunkerque and Montpellier finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montpellier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dunkerque
30%
Draws
47%
Montpellier
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montpellier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dunkerque haven't matched Montpellier's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Montpellier's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 19%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunkerque Montpellier
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Montpellier
0:1
Jan 5, 2026 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Dunkerque
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Montpellier
0:1
Jan 3, 2009 Coupe de France
Montpellier vs Dunkerque
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunkerque Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Montpellier Compare

Top Goalscorer Pays N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunkerque 20 / 100
Montpellier 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunkerque Montpellier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Montpellier conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Dunkerque went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunkerque VS Montpellier
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunkerque

(Home)
02 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 4
RAAL La Louviere
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
Page 1 of 6

Montpellier

(Away)
18 Sept
Reims
1 : 1
Montpellier
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0
Pau
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19:8 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9:7 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15:9 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4:5 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
10 Pau 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14:16 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4:6 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3:5 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)