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Dunmurry Y.M. vs Laurelvale Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 8-1, with Dunmurry Y.M. advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dunmurry Y.M.
15%
Draws
42%
Laurelvale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunmurry Y.M.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Laurelvale come out ahead of Dunmurry Y.M. on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Dunmurry Y.M. taking it.
  • Laurelvale arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dunmurry Y.M., who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Dunmurry Y.M. Clean Sheet 10%
Laurelvale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunmurry Y.M. Laurelvale
Matches Played 7 14
Wins 2 3
Draws 0 1
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.71 1.64
Goals Conceded 3.57 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 2.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2015 Irish Cup
Dunmurry Y.M. vs Laurelvale
8:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunmurry Y.M. 38 / 100
Laurelvale 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunmurry Y.M. Laurelvale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunmurry Y.M. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laurelvale has conceded goals in 93% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Dunmurry Y.M.'s goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Away concern: Laurelvale has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunmurry Y.M. VS Laurelvale
2.71 Goals Scored 1.63
3.57 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
71% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunmurry Y.M.

(Home)
28 Sept
Ballymacash
2 : 1
Dunmurry Y.M.
18 Aug
Dunmurry Y.M.
4 : 5
Rathfriland Rangers
19 Aug
Orangefield Old Boys'
3 : 0
Dunmurry Y.M.
03 Oct
Immaculata
10 : 0
Dunmurry Y.M.
22 Aug
Dunmurry Y.M.
8 : 1
Laurelvale
Page 1 of 2

Laurelvale

(Away)
03 Aug
Laurelvale
0 : 6
Portadown
17 Aug
Chimney
5 : 1
Laurelvale
29 Sept
Brantwood
2 : 1
Laurelvale
18 Aug
Saintfield
1 : 3
Laurelvale
04 Nov
Laurelvale
0 : 5
Moyola
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 3
Dromore Amateurs 0
Bloomfield 1
Desertmartin 4
Ballywalter Recreation 4
Iveagh Utd 2
Foundry 0
Tandragee 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Newtowne FC 5
Dungiven 1
TBD -
Groomsport -
Newcastle 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Colin Valley 1
Dromara 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Immaculata 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Laurelvale 1
Dunmurry Y.M. 8
Rathcoole 3
Ballymacash 2
Craigavon City 3
Lower Maze 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
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Cliftonville -
Portadown -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 2
Saintfield 1
Bryansburn 2
Killyleagh Youth 3
Malachians 1
Grove 0
Windmill 0
Comber Rec 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Rosario Youth 7
Rathfern Rangers 4
Richhill 2
Ballynahinch United 2
Valley Rangers 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Newington FC -
Queens University -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Larne -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Trojans 2
Islandmagee 1
Orangefield Old Boys' 1
Derriaghy 4
Seapatrick 1
Killymoon 0
Portaferry Rovers 0
Banbridge Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
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TBD -
Crumlin United 3
Nortel 2
TBD -
Seagoe -
Moneyslane FC 2
Barn 1
Chimney 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne Technical Old Boys -
Shankill 4
Donard 2
Markethill 1
St. Patricks Young 2
St. Marys 3
Fivemiletown 2
TBD -
Downpatrick -
Strabane Athletic 11
Kilmore Rec 0
East Belfast 1
Ards Rangers 2
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundonald 3
Broomhill 2
Drumaness 1
Dunloy 4
Newry City 5
Ardstraw 1
Shorts 0
Crumlin Star 3
Dungannon -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers -
TBD -
Newbuildings 2
Crewe 3
Brantwood 2
Magherafelt 1
Ballynure Old Boys 1
Sirocco 2
Dunmurry Rec -
TBD -
Ballymoney 1
Hanover 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Mossley FC 1
U. U. Jordanstown 1
Abbey Villa 4
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Crusaders -
1/128-finals
Linfield -
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TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 2
Desertmartin 1
Ballywalter Recreation 0
Tandragee 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Newtowne FC 4
Groomsport 1
Newcastle 1
Dromara 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Immaculata 10
Dunmurry Y.M. 0
Rathcoole 1
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 3
Killyleagh Youth 1
Malachians 0
Comber Rec 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Rosario Youth 1
Rathfern Rangers 1
Valley Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Trojans 6
Derriaghy 1
Seapatrick 0
Banbridge Rangers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United 9
Seagoe 1
Moneyslane FC 2
Downshire Y.M. 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars 3
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Shankill 1
St. Patricks Young 4
St. Marys 3
Downpatrick 1
Strabane Athletic 1
Ards Rangers 4
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundonald 10
Dunloy 2
Newry City 1
Crumlin Star 2
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Crewe 0
Brantwood 2
Sirocco 3
Dunmurry Rec 5
Hanover 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Abbey Villa 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Lisburn Rangers 3
Tandragee 0
TBD -
Armagh -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Newtowne FC 3
Dromara 2
TBD -
Institute -
Immaculata 4
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Ardglass 4
Comber Rec 3
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Valley Rangers 0
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Trojans 5
Banbridge Rangers 1
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United 3
Downshire Y.M. 2
TBD -
Banbridge -
Oxford Stars 1
St. Patricks Young 0
St. Marys 1
Ards Rangers 4
Ballyclare -
TBD -
Dundonald 0
Crumlin Star 5
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Sirocco 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
Abbey Villa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portstewart 3
Moyola 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Armagh 3
Sport & Leisure 6
Dergview 1
Newtowne FC 1
Institute 2
Immaculata 2
Dundela 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
Glebe 1
Wakehurst 2
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda 3
Lisburn Distillery 2
Dollingstown 1
Annagh 2
Bangor FC 5
Coagh Utd 0
Ardglass 0
Lurgan Celtic 4
Glenavon -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ards 7
Donegal 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
PSNI 2
Newington FC 1
Queens University 1
Tobermore 2
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Trojans 1
Loughgall 2
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Crumlin United 3
Banbridge 4
Oxford Stars 3
Ards Rangers 2
Ballyclare 0
Crumlin Star 1
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Abbey Villa 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Linfield 2
Ballymena 1
Portstewart 2
Armagh 3
Sport & Leisure 3
Institute 2
Immaculata 0
Cliftonville 2
Portadown 6
Wakehurst 1
Ballinamallard 2
Coleraine 3
Knockbreda 5
Annagh 1
Bangor FC 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Glenavon 4
Harland & Wolff 1
Ards 1
Glentoran 4
PSNI 2
Tobermore 0
Larne 2
Loughgall 5
Carrick Rangers 2
Banbridge 0
Oxford Stars 2
Crumlin Star 3
Dungannon 4
Warrenpoint 3
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Crusaders 3
1/8-finals
Linfield 7
Armagh 0
Sport & Leisure 0
Cliftonville 4
Portadown 3
Coleraine 1
Knockbreda 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glenavon 4
Glentoran 1
PSNI 0
Loughgall 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Crumlin Star 0
Dungannon 1
Crusaders 3
Quarter-finals
Linfield 3
Cliftonville 0
Portadown 2
Lurgan Celtic 3
Glenavon 2
Loughgall 1
Carrick Rangers 0
Crusaders 3
Semi-finals
Linfield 3
Lurgan Celtic 0
Glenavon 4
Crusaders 3
Final
Linfield 0
Glenavon 2