Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunston vs Skelmersdale

England England

FA Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Dunston
15%
Draws
21%
Skelmersdale
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Dunston carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Dunston have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Dunston Clean Sheet 16%
Skelmersdale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunston Skelmersdale
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.5 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2016 FA Cup
Skelmersdale vs Dunston
1:2
Sep 3, 2016 FA Cup
Dunston vs Skelmersdale
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunston 30 / 100
Skelmersdale 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunston Skelmersdale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunston scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Skelmersdale has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Dunston stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunston VS Skelmersdale
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunston

(Home)
05 Sept
Vauxhall
0 : 2
Dunston
29 Aug
Grimsby Borough
0 : 1
Dunston
15 Nov
South Shields
6 : 2
Dunston
24 Oct
Dunston
1 : 0
Hebburn Town
04 Oct
Dunston
2 : 1
Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 6

Skelmersdale

(Away)
06 Jul
Burscough
1 : 1
Skelmersdale
14 Sept
Widnes FC
2 : 1
Skelmersdale
04 Sept
Radcliffe
2 : 0
Skelmersdale
27 Jul
Skelmersdale
4 : 1
Prescot Cables
10 Jul
Skelmersdale
2 : 3
Widnes FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Southport -
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Chester -
Alfreton -
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AFC Fylde -
Harlow 3
Romford 1
Brigg Town 1
King’s Lynn 6
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Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
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Macclesfield -
United of Manchester -
TBD -
Billingham Synthonia FC 4
Ossett Town 5
Bridlington Town 2
Newcastle Benfield 0
TBD -
Harrogate -
Stalybridge -
TBD -
Buxton 0
Witton Albion 3
Ashton Athletic 7
Mossley AFC 2
TBD -
Halifax -
Stockport County -
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Colne 0
Hyde 1
Bradford PA -
TBD -
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Salford -
Farsley 3
Sheffield FC 0
Pontefract Collieries 2
Tadcaster Albion 3
Trafford 5
Cheadle Town 2
Ossett Albion 1
Bishop Auckland 5
Barrow -
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Tranmere -
Halesowen 3
Coleshill Town 0
Hednesford 1
Belper Town 2
Marine 2
Marske United 0
Ashton United 0
Nantwich 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 6
Ashby Ivanhoe 0
Evesham 2
Barwell 4
Mickleover 3
Spalding United 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Stourbridge 3
Altrincham -
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Gainsborough -
Blyth Spartans 3
Frickley 1
Colwyn Bay 1
Morpeth 4
Matlock 4
Heanor Town 2
Stafford 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Shildon 5
Washington 2
Warrington Town 0
Workington 3
Lincoln City -
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Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 6
Dunkirk 1
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Nuneaton -
Burscough 4
Maine Road 3
Squires Gate 2
Handsworth Parramore 5
Chorley -
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Skelmersdale 3
Dunston 4
Whitby 5
Winsford United 4
Radcliffe 3
Spennymoor 5
Stamford 5
Neots 2
Deeping Rangers 2
Gresley 6
Coalville Town 2
Redditch 1
Stratford 1
AFC Mansfield 2
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Wrexham -
York City -
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Bedworth United 2
Coventry United 0
Grantham Town 3
Chasetown 4
Consett 5
Harrogate Railway 0
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Curzon Ashton -
Welling -
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Ramsgate 1
Whyteleafe 2
Farnborough 5
Andover Town 0
Portishead Town 1
Swindon Supermarine 4
Merthyr Town 4
Barnstaple Town 0
Bideford 1
Portchester 2
East Thurrock Utd -
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Whitehawk -
Westfields 4
St Ives Town 0
Leamington 1
Highgate United 3
Hythe 1
Leatherhead 0
Greenwich Borough 2
Walton Casuals 3
Hungerford -
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Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 0
Basingstoke 4
South Park 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Grays 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
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Forest Green -
Chesham 5
Saffron 0
Lewes 1
Sevenoaks 2
Maidenhead -
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Godalming Town 0
Staines 4
Potters 3
Chalfont St Peter 0
Dunstable Town 1
Canvey Island 2
Oxford City -
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Bath City -
Dagenham & Red. -
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Banbury 3
Dorchester 0
Gillingham Town 0
Cirencester 2
Histon 2
Lowestoft 0
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Wealdstone -
Torquay -
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Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Cinderford Town 0
Fleet Town 1
Slimbridge 2
AFC Dunstable 4
Heybridge 3
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Hampton & Richmond -
Gloucester City -
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Frome Town 0
Salisbury 2
Herne Bay 3
Ashford Town 1
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Hemel Hempstead -
Braintree -
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Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 7
Wantage 2
Haringey Borough 0
FC Witham Town 3
Stortford -
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Tilbury 1
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Worcester -
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Telford -
Rugby 1
Corby 0
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Brackley -
Tonbridge 9
Ascot United 2
Waltham Abbey 0
Wingate & Finchley 5
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Eynesbury Rovers 1
Romulus 1
Hereford 4
Slough Town 6
Chipstead 1
Flackwell Heath 1
Cambridge City 3
Chelmsford -
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Dartford -
Faversham 1
Cray Wanderers 0
Biggleswade United 2
Hitchin 4
VCD Athletic 4
Kingstonian 1
Arundel FC 1
Egham Town 5
Worthing FC 9
Carshalton 5
Sun Sports 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Dereham 2
Holbeach 1
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St. Albans -
Boreham Wood -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Hornchurch 0
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Concord Rangers -
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Pagham 0
Cheshunt 2
Hendon 5
Aldershot -
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Eastbourne Borough -
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Hounslow United 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Kings Langley 6
Sporting Bengal 1
London Colney 0
Hadley 1
Harrow Borough 4
Sawbridgeworth 1
Needham Market 0
Uxbridge 2
Truro -
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Street 2
Winchester City 4
Margate -
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Maldon & Tiptree 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Barton 1
Stanway Rovers 0
Camberley Town 0
Hastings 2
Maidstone -
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Chippenham Town 9
Moneyfields 0
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Poole Town -
Bognor Regis 5
Guildford City 1
Brightlingsea 1
Billericay 2
Kidderminster -
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Tamworth -
Darlington FC -
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Brighouse Town 0
Lancaster 3
Brimscombe & Thrupp 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
Hamworthy United 2
Brislington 5
Gosport Borough -
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Paulton Rovers 1
Weymouth 2
Solihull Moors -
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Boston United -
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Hinckley LR 2
Kirby Muxloe 3
Rushall 3
Soham 2
Leek Town 2
Kettering 3
Burgess Hill 2
Ashford United 1
Harefield United 2
Kempston 3
Alresford Town 5
Fareham 3
Plymouth Parkway 0
Cadbury Heath 3
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Dover Ath. -
Merstham 4
East Preston 1
Eastbourne Town 0
Colliers Wood 2
Hanwell Town 1
Enfield Town 0
Chertsey Town 0
Thamesmead 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Sholing 0
Eastbourne United 0
Highworth 3
Sudbury 6
Halstead Town 0
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Ebbsfleet -
Eastleigh -
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Folkestone 3
North Greenford Utd. 1
Stotfold 1
Walthamstow FC 2
Weston-super-Mare -
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Corinthian-Casuals 2
North Leigh 3
Quarter-finals
Southport -
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Chester -
Alfreton 1
AFC Fylde 0
Harlow 0
King’s Lynn 1
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Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
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Macclesfield -
United of Manchester 7
Ossett Town 1
Bridlington Town 3
Harrogate 4
Stalybridge 3
Witton Albion 2
Ashton Athletic 0
Halifax 5
Stockport County 2
Hyde 0
Bradford PA 0
Salford 1
Farsley 2
Tadcaster Albion 0
Trafford 0
Bishop Auckland 1
Barrow -
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Tranmere -
Halesowen 1
Belper Town 0
Marine 4
Nantwich 5
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Barwell 0
Mickleover 1
Stourbridge 2
Altrincham 3
Gainsborough 2
Blyth Spartans 2
Morpeth 4
Matlock 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Shildon 1
Workington 3
Lincoln City -
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Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 2
Nuneaton 1
Burscough 0
Handsworth Parramore 2
Chorley 2
Dunston 0
Whitby 0
Spennymoor 1
Stamford 2
Gresley 1
Coalville Town 0
AFC Mansfield 1
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Wrexham -
York City -
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Bedworth United 1
Chasetown 0
Consett 1
Curzon Ashton 2
Welling 2
Whyteleafe 0
Farnborough 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Merthyr Town 2
Portchester 0
East Thurrock Utd 2
Whitehawk 3
Westfields 4
Highgate United 2
Hythe 2
Walton Casuals 4
Hungerford 1
Basingstoke 0
South Park 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
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Forest Green -
Chesham 4
Sevenoaks 3
Maidenhead 0
Staines 1
Potters 5
Canvey Island 4
Oxford City 2
Bath City 3
Dagenham & Red. -
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Banbury 6
Cirencester 1
Histon 0
Wealdstone 4
Torquay -
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Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Slimbridge 0
AFC Dunstable 1
Hampton & Richmond 7
Gloucester City 2
Salisbury 1
Herne Bay 2
Hemel Hempstead 6
Braintree -
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Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 3
FC Witham Town 1
Stortford 1
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Worcester 3
Telford 1
Rugby 0
Brackley 6
Tonbridge 3
Wingate & Finchley 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Hereford 3
Slough Town 3
Cambridge City 1
Chelmsford 2
Dartford 3
Faversham 3
Hitchin 2
VCD Athletic 1
Egham Town 2
Worthing FC 2
Hayes & Yeading 0
Dereham 1
St. Albans 2
Boreham Wood -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Concord Rangers 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Hendon 2
Aldershot -
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Eastbourne Borough 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Kings Langley 1
Hadley 2
Harrow Borough 2
Uxbridge 1
Truro 0
Winchester City 4
Margate 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Barton 0
Hastings 1
Maidstone -
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Chippenham Town 4
Poole Town 1
Bognor Regis 1
Billericay 2
Kidderminster 4
Tamworth 0
Darlington FC 1
Lancaster 2
Brimscombe & Thrupp 2
Brislington 1
Gosport Borough 2
Weymouth 3
Solihull Moors -
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Boston United 2
Kirby Muxloe 1
Rushall 1
Kettering 2
Burgess Hill 4
Kempston 2
Alresford Town 1
Cadbury Heath 3
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Dover Ath. -
Merstham 2
Colliers Wood 1
Hanwell Town 3
Thamesmead 5
Havant & Waterlooville 5
Highworth 1
Sudbury 0
Ebbsfleet 5
Eastleigh -
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Folkestone 3
Walthamstow FC 1
Weston-super-Mare 1
North Leigh 2
Semi-finals
Southport -
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TBD -
Chester -
Alfreton 2
King’s Lynn 0
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Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
TBD -
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Macclesfield -
United of Manchester 3
Harrogate 5
Stalybridge 1
Halifax 2
Stockport County 2
Salford 0
Farsley 0
Bishop Auckland 1
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Halesowen 2
Nantwich 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Stourbridge 2
Altrincham 3
Morpeth 0
Matlock 4
Workington 2
Lincoln City -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 3
Handsworth Parramore 1
Chorley 0
Spennymoor 1
Stamford 2
AFC Mansfield 1
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Wrexham -
York City -
TBD -
Bedworth United 0
Curzon Ashton 4
Welling 7
Swindon Supermarine 1
Merthyr Town 0
Whitehawk 2
Westfields 4
Walton Casuals 0
Hungerford 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
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Forest Green -
Chesham 2
Staines 0
Potters 2
Bath City 1
Dagenham & Red. -
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Banbury 1
Wealdstone 2
Torquay -
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Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Hampton & Richmond 1
Gloucester City 2
Hemel Hempstead 4
Braintree -
TBD -
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Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 3
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Worcester 0
Brackley 3
Tonbridge 4
Hereford 2
Slough Town 2
Dartford 3
Faversham 1
Egham Town 2
Worthing FC 0
St. Albans 6
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Hendon 3
Aldershot -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough 4
Hadley 1
Harrow Borough 2
Winchester City 1
Margate 4
Hastings 3
Maidstone -
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Chippenham Town 2
Billericay 3
Kidderminster 3
Lancaster 2
Brimscombe & Thrupp 0
Weymouth 6
Solihull Moors -
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Boston United 0
Kettering 2
Burgess Hill 6
Cadbury Heath 1
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Dover Ath. -
Merstham 5
Thamesmead 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Ebbsfleet 7
Eastleigh -
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Folkestone 1
North Leigh 3
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Southport 1
Chester 0
Alfreton 5
Gateshead 4
North Ferriby United 1
Macclesfield 4
Harrogate 0
Halifax 2
Stockport County 2
Bishop Auckland 0
Barrow 2
Tranmere 1
Nantwich 1
Stourbridge 3
Altrincham 3
Matlock 1
Lincoln City 2
Guiseley 1
Lincoln Utd. 0
Spennymoor 3
Stamford 4
Wrexham 3
York City 2
Curzon Ashton 3
Welling 0
Whitehawk 1
Westfields 2
Leiston 1
Sutton 2
Forest Green 1
Chesham 1
Potters 0
Dagenham & Red. 3
Wealdstone 1
Torquay 2
Woking 3
Taunton Town 1
Hemel Hempstead 0
Braintree 4
Bromley 2
Beaconsfield Town 0
Brackley 5
Tonbridge 0
Dartford 3
Egham Town 0
St. Albans 1
Boreham Wood 3
Hendon 0
Aldershot 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Harrow Borough 5
Margate 3
Maidstone 3
Billericay 1
Kidderminster 6
Weymouth 0
Solihull Moors 3
Kettering 1
Burgess Hill 0
Dover Ath. 5
Merstham 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Eastleigh 6
North Leigh 0