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Duque Caxiense vs Uniao Central

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
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Match Events

36' Event
Sardinha L.
50'
Liede R.
81' Event
Ferreira W.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C 2025 game between Duque Caxiense and Uniao Central finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Duque Caxiense
15%
Draws
65%
Uniao Central
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Duque Caxiense haven't matched Uniao Central's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Duque Caxiense a 20% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca C 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Duque Caxiense Clean Sheet 10%
Uniao Central Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duque Caxiense Uniao Central
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 1 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2025 Carioca C
Duque Caxiense vs Uniao Central
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duque Caxiense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Uniao Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Sardinha L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duque Caxiense 38 / 100
Uniao Central 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duque Caxiense Uniao Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duque Caxiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Uniao Central conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Duque Caxiense found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (12 games).

Duque Caxiense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Duque Caxiense VS Uniao Central
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Duque Caxiense

(Home)
10 Aug
Buzios
2 : 5
Duque Caxiense
04 Aug
Duque Caxiense
0 : 1
Paraty
20 Jul
Rio Barra
2 : 1
Duque Caxiense
14 Jul
Duque Caxiense
0 : 3
Uniao Central
06 Jul
Juventus RJ
2 : 0
Duque Caxiense
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Uniao Central

(Away)
12 Jul
Uniao Central
3 : 1
Caac Brazil
06 Jul
Caac Brazil
2 : 2
Uniao Central
03 Jul
Uniao Central
1 : 0
Campos AA
28 Jun
Tigres Brasil
4 : 0
Uniao Central
07 Jun
Uniao Central
3 : 2
EC Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraty 12 9 1 2 33:11 28
2 Santa Cruz RJ 12 8 3 1 39:14 27
3 Riostrense 12 8 2 2 29:11 26
4 Uniao Central 12 7 3 2 34:18 24
5 Juventus RJ 12 7 3 2 24:9 24
6 EC Vera Cruz 12 6 2 4 18:11 20
7 Angra dos Reis 12 6 1 5 24:21 19
8 Rio Barra 11 4 0 7 12:24 12
9 Buzios 12 4 0 8 16:33 12
10 Duque Caxiense 12 3 1 8 15:19 10
11 Caac Brazil 12 3 0 9 10:35 9
12 Mesquita 12 2 1 9 8:28 7
13 Barcelona EC 11 1 1 9 5:33 4
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)