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Duque de Caxias vs Audax RJ - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Duque de Caxias host Audax RJ in the Carioca B1. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Duque de Caxias have averaged 0.81 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Audax RJ's 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Duque de Caxias have won 1 to Audax RJ's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 0.94, favoring Duque de Caxias. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Duque de Caxias
15%
Draws
8%
Audax RJ
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Duque de Caxias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Duque de Caxias have won more games recently than Audax RJ.
  • Model gives Duque de Caxias a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Duque de Caxias Clean Sheet 20%
Audax RJ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duque de Caxias Audax RJ
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.81 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs Duque de Caxias
2:1
May 22, 2024 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs Duque de Caxias
1:1
Jul 24, 2021 Carioca 2
Duque de Caxias vs Audax RJ
0:1
Oct 10, 2020 Carioca 2
Duque de Caxias vs Audax RJ
1:2
Feb 23, 2014 Carioca
Duque de Caxias vs Audax RJ
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duque de Caxias 85 / 100
Audax RJ 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duque de Caxias Audax RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duque de Caxias Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Audax RJ let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Duque de Caxias stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Audax RJ registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Duque de Caxias VS Audax RJ
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Duque de Caxias

(Home)
03 Oct
Goytacaz
2 : 1
Duque de Caxias
26 Sept
Duque de Caxias
0 : 2
Niteroiense
19 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 1
Duque de Caxias
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Duque de Caxias
3 : 0
Nova Cidade
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Audax RJ

(Away)
03 Oct
Audax RJ
0 : 0
Nova Cidade
26 Sept
Goncalense
3 : 2
Audax RJ
19 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Serrano FC
12 Sept
Macae
2 : 0
Audax RJ
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
2 Goytacaz 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
3 Duque de Caxias 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
4 Goncalense 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
5 Artsul 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
6 Campo Grande 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Serrano FC 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
8 Macae 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Sao Cristovao 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
10 Nova Cidade 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
11 AA Carapebus 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
12 Audax RJ 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)