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Duque de Caxias W vs Colo Colo W

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Duque de Caxias W play Colo Colo W in the Copa Libertadores Women 2011. Colo Colo W are favorites here. Recently, Duque de Caxias W averaged 1 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. Colo Colo W averaged 3.24 goals scored and 0.17 conceded. In past meetings, Duque de Caxias W won 0, Colo Colo W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 19, 2011 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Duque de Caxias W and 1.86 for Colo Colo W. This points to a Colo Colo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Duque de Caxias W
15%
Draws
68%
Colo Colo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colo Colo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Duque de Caxias W picked up more points recently compared to Colo Colo W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 16%
Duque de Caxias W Clean Sheet 10%
Colo Colo W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duque de Caxias W Colo Colo W
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 3 26
Draws 1 1
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1 3.24
Goals Conceded 2.31 0.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2011 Copa Libertadores Women
Duque de Caxias W vs Colo Colo W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duque de Caxias W 17 / 100
Colo Colo W 64 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duque de Caxias W Colo Colo W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colo Colo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Colo Colo W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +88.9%
11.11
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Duque de Caxias W attacking → ← attacking Colo Colo W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duque de Caxias W scored in 46% of their last 13 games.

Colo Colo W let in goals in 17% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Duque de Caxias W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Colo Colo W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 79
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo W32109:37
2Universidad de Asuncion W31207:35
3Duque de Caxias W31115:24
4Sport Girls W30031:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Estudiantes de Caracas W320113:46
2Santos W32018:96
3Club Nacional de Football W31118:64
4Gerimex W30121:111
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Jose W32107:47
2Formas Intimas W31119:94
3Boca Juniors W31026:63
4Deportivo Quito W31025:83