Sport Picks
Duque de Caxias W vs Sport Girls W
South America
Copa Libertadores Women 2011 
Match Events
8'
8'
45'
45'
64'
64'
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Duque de Caxias W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Duque de Caxias W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Duque de Caxias W come out ahead of Sport Girls W on wins alone.
- Duque de Caxias W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Duque de Caxias W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Duque de Caxias W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Duque de Caxias W Clean Sheet 12%
Sport Girls W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Duque de Caxias W | Sport Girls W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 13 | 12 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 4.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.63 | 4.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 13, 2011 Copa Libertadores Women
Duque de Caxias W vs Sport Girls W
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Duque de Caxias W 65 / 100
Sport Girls W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Duque de Caxias W Sport Girls W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DUQ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sport Girls W let in goals in 100% of their last 12 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Away concern: Sport Girls W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Duque de Caxias W's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 13 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Duque de Caxias W VS Sport Girls W
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 4.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Duque de Caxias W
(Home) 26 Oct
Botafogo RJ W
7 : 0 Duque de Caxias W
23 Oct
Boavista W
0 : 3 Duque de Caxias W
19 Oct
Olaria W
0 : 2 Duque de Caxias W
16 Oct
Duque de Caxias W
1 : 2 Perolas Negras W
12 Oct
CR Flamengo W
7 : 0 Duque de Caxias W
Page 1 of 3
16 Oct
Duque de Caxias W
1 : 2 Perolas Negras W
05 Oct
Duque de Caxias W
0 : 2 EC Resende W
17 Feb
Duque de Caxias W
0 : 3 CR Flamengo W
03 Feb
Duque de Caxias W
2 : 3 Vitoria das Tabocas W
19 Nov
Duque de Caxias W
1 : 2 Colo Colo W
Page 1 of 2
Sport Girls W
(Away) 27 Nov
Santos W
3 : 0 Sport Girls W
23 Nov
Colo Colo W
5 : 0 Sport Girls W
21 Nov
Sport Girls W
3 : 2 Deportivo ITA W
31 Oct
Club Nacional de Football W
3 : 2 Sport Girls W
29 Oct
Colo Colo W
8 : 0 Sport Girls W
Page 1 of 3
27 Nov
Santos W
3 : 0 Sport Girls W
23 Nov
Colo Colo W
5 : 0 Sport Girls W
31 Oct
Club Nacional de Football W
3 : 2 Sport Girls W
29 Oct
Colo Colo W
8 : 0 Sport Girls W
27 Oct
Mundo Futuro W
1 : 0 Sport Girls W
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Universidad de Asuncion W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Duque de Caxias W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Sport Girls W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2011 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes de Caracas W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Santos W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 3 | Club Nacional de Football W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Gerimex W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2011 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Formas Intimas W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9:9 | 4 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Deportivo Quito W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2011 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams