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Durban City vs Leruma United

South Africa South Africa

Motsepe Foundation Championship 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Magawana S.
44' Event
Maseko S.
52' Event
Maseko S.

AI Match Summary

The Motsepe Foundation Championship 2024/2025 game between Durban City and Leruma United finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Durban City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Durban City
35%
Draws
18%
Leruma United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Durban City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Durban City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Durban City's way, sitting at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Motsepe Foundation Championship 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Durban City Clean Sheet 68%
Leruma United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Durban City Leruma United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.91 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Leruma United vs Durban City
0:0
Dec 7, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Durban City vs Leruma United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Durban City Compare

Top Goalscorer Maseko S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Magawana S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Leruma United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durban City 59 / 100
Leruma United 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Durban City Leruma United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Durban City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Durban City scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Leruma United let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Durban City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Durban City VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Durban City

(Home)
20 Sept
Milford
1 : 1
Durban City
17 Sept
Orlando Pirates
2 : 0
Durban City
13 Sept
Rukinzo
1 : 2
Durban City
06 Sept
Durban City
1 : 0
Rukinzo
01 Sept
Durban City
0 : 0
Stellenbosch FC
Page 1 of 7

Leruma United

(Away)
18 May
Orbit College
0 : 0
Leruma United
11 May
Leruma United
1 : 1
Milford
03 May
Kruger United
1 : 0
Leruma United
26 Apr
Leruma United
1 : 1
Pretoria U.
23 Apr
Leruma United
1 : 2
Venda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Durban City 30 17 7 6 44:23 58
2 Orbit College 30 14 11 5 33:19 53
3 Real Native 30 13 9 8 38:29 48
4 Black Leopards 30 13 8 9 43:36 47
5 Kruger United 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
6 Milford 30 12 7 11 35:37 43
7 JDR Stars 30 11 10 9 30:33 43
8 Baroka 30 10 11 9 41:43 41
9 Highbury 30 10 8 12 29:28 38
10 Pretoria U. 30 9 11 10 27:31 38
11 Pretoria Callies 30 10 6 14 23:36 36
12 Upington City 30 8 11 11 28:30 35
13 Hungry Lions 30 8 9 13 35:35 33
14 Venda 30 7 10 13 30:34 31
15 Cape Town Spurs 30 6 12 12 24:30 30
16 Leruma United 30 6 9 15 20:39 27
Promotion - Betway Premiership 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Betway Premiership 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)