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Durban City vs Stellenbosch FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Africa South Africa

Carling Knockout Chatsworth Stadium, Durban
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Carling Knockout. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Durban City have averaged 0.91 scored and 0.91 conceded recently, against Stellenbosch FC's 0.87 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Durban City slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 1, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 0.88) point toward Durban City. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Durban City
35%
Draws
30%
Stellenbosch FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Durban City come out ahead of Stellenbosch FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Durban City a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Durban City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Durban City, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Durban City Clean Sheet 20%
Stellenbosch FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Durban City Stellenbosch FC
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.91 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Betway Premiership
Durban City vs Stellenbosch FC
0:0
May 8, 2026 Betway Premiership
Durban City vs Stellenbosch FC
0:0
Sep 24, 2025 Betway Premiership
Stellenbosch FC vs Durban City
0:0
May 13, 2023 Betway Premiership
Durban City vs Stellenbosch FC
1:0
Oct 4, 2022 Betway Premiership
Stellenbosch FC vs Durban City
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durban City 36 / 100
Stellenbosch FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Durban City Stellenbosch FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Durban City scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Stellenbosch FC has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Durban City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Durban City VS Stellenbosch FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Durban City

(Home)
18 Oct
Durban City
3 : 1
Port Louis
13 Oct
Durban City
1 : 2
AmaZulu
20 Sept
Milford
1 : 1
Durban City
17 Sept
Orlando Pirates
2 : 0
Durban City
13 Sept
Rukinzo
1 : 2
Durban City
Page 1 of 7

Stellenbosch FC

(Away)
13 Oct
Kaizer Chiefs
1 : 1
Stellenbosch FC
19 Sept
Kruger United
0 : 1
Stellenbosch FC
11 Sept
Stellenbosch FC
1 : 1
Sekhukhune
01 Sept
Durban City
0 : 0
Stellenbosch FC
26 Aug
Golden Arrows
1 : 0
Stellenbosch FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Golden Arrows -
Chippa Utd. -
Polokwane City -
Siwelele -
Kruger United -
AmaZulu -
Sekhukhune -
Richards Bay -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Marumo Gallants -
Orlando Pirates -
Milford -
Kaizer Chiefs -
TS Galaxy -
Durban City -
Stellenbosch FC -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -