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Durham W vs Birmingham W Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

WSL 2 2025/2026 Maiden Castle, Durham
Durham W Logo

Durham W

1 - 1
FT
Birmingham W Logo

Birmingham W

Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Leidhammar W.
45'
Herron N.
58' Event
Leidhammar W.
Assist: Hurtre O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The WSL 2 2025/2026 game between Durham W and Birmingham W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Durham W
20%
Draws
80%
Birmingham W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Birmingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Birmingham W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Birmingham W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Durham W Clean Sheet 10%
Birmingham W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Durham W Birmingham W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.14 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 WSL 2
Durham W vs Birmingham W
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 WSL 2
Birmingham W vs Durham W
3:0
Apr 20, 2025 WSL 2
Birmingham W vs Durham W
3:1
Dec 8, 2024 Women’s FA Cup
Birmingham W vs Durham W
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 WSL 2
Durham W vs Birmingham W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Durham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Watson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Birmingham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leidhammar W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durham W 18 / 100
Birmingham W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Durham W Birmingham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Birmingham W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Durham W scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Birmingham W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Birmingham W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Durham W VS Birmingham W
1.25 Goals Scored 1
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Durham W

(Home)
30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5
Manchester United W
27 Sept
Sheffield Utd W
4 : 1
Durham W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
06 Sept
Durham W
1 : 3
Southampton FC W
Page 1 of 6

Birmingham W

(Away)
30 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 4
Liverpool W
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3
Crystal Palace W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
13 Sept
Birmingham W
2 : 2
Brighton W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birmingham W 22 14 2 6 46:24 44
2 Crystal Palace W 22 13 5 4 44:26 44
3 Charlton W 22 12 6 4 31:21 42
4 Bristol City W 22 11 4 7 47:31 37
5 Southampton FC W 22 10 5 7 44:26 35
6 Newcastle Utd W 22 8 9 5 32:25 33
7 Nottingham W 22 9 3 10 27:35 30
8 Sunderland W 22 6 6 10 28:35 24
9 Ipswich W 22 6 5 11 26:42 23
10 Durham W 22 5 7 10 27:35 22
11 Sheffield Utd W 22 4 6 12 21:43 18
12 Portsmouth W 22 4 2 16 23:53 14
Promotion - WSL (Main)
Promotion - WSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)