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Durham W vs Sunderland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL 2 Maiden Castle, Durham
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Durham W host Sunderland W in the WSL 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sunderland W have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Durham W have conceded 2.43 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Durham W have won 1 to Sunderland W's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.88) point toward Sunderland W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Durham W
15%
Draws
85%
Sunderland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunderland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sunderland W have won more games recently than Durham W.
  • Sunderland W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular WSL 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sunderland W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Durham W Clean Sheet 10%
Sunderland W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Durham W Sunderland W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 WSL 2
Durham W vs Sunderland W
2:3
Nov 23, 2025 Women's League Cup
Sunderland W vs Durham W
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 WSL 2
Sunderland W vs Durham W
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 WSL 2
Sunderland W vs Durham W
2:0
Dec 11, 2024 Women's League Cup
Sunderland W vs Durham W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durham W 10 / 100
Sunderland W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Durham W Sunderland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunderland W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Durham W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Sunderland W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sunderland W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Durham W VS Sunderland W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Durham W

(Home)
25 Oct
Watford W
4 : 2
Durham W
21 Oct
Durham W
0 : 5
Birmingham W
18 Oct
Burnley W
3 : 2
Durham W
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5
Manchester United W
Page 1 of 6

Sunderland W

(Away)
25 Oct
Ipswich W
3 : 1
Sunderland W
18 Oct
Newcastle Utd W
0 : 1
Sunderland W
04 Oct
Sunderland W
3 : 1
Leicester W
27 Sept
Watford W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2
Sunderland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd W 6 5 1 0 16:3 16
2 Ipswich W 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
3 Sunderland W 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
4 Bristol City W 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
5 Nottingham W 6 2 4 0 10:7 10
6 Southampton FC W 6 1 4 1 7:6 7
7 Wolverhampton W 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
8 Leicester W 6 2 1 3 8:12 7
9 Sheffield Utd W 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
10 Watford W 6 1 3 2 10:13 6
11 Burnley W 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
12 Durham W 6 0 0 6 7:20 0
Promotion - WSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - WSL (Relegation)