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Dusheti vs FC Gareji Sagarejo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Tsentraluri Stadioni, Dusheti
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dusheti host FC Gareji Sagarejo in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. FC Gareji Sagarejo have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Dusheti have conceded 1.4 and scored 1.46. Head-to-head, Dusheti have won 1 to FC Gareji Sagarejo's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.56, favoring FC Gareji Sagarejo. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dusheti
15%
Draws
49%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Dusheti have won more games recently than FC Gareji Sagarejo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 15%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dusheti FC Gareji Sagarejo
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.46 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Dusheti
0:2
May 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:1
Mar 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Dusheti
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:3
Aug 10, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Dusheti
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dusheti 30 / 100
FC Gareji Sagarejo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dusheti FC Gareji Sagarejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dusheti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dusheti scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

FC Gareji Sagarejo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Gareji Sagarejo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dusheti VS FC Gareji Sagarejo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dusheti

(Home)
10 Oct
Dusheti
1 : 4
Telavi
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Dusheti
0 : 1
Odishi 1919
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
Page 1 of 7

FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Away)
10 Oct
Odishi 1919
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 14 8 6 35:29 50
2 Telavi 28 12 10 6 33:26 46
3 Shturmi 28 12 10 6 31:23 46
4 Samtredia 28 12 4 12 51:40 40
5 Merani Martvili 28 10 7 11 31:36 37
6 Odishi 1919 28 9 8 11 30:37 35
7 Dusheti 28 10 5 13 31:41 35
8 Bolnisi 28 8 9 11 35:37 33
9 Gori 28 7 9 12 29:36 30
10 Kolkheti 1913 28 6 10 12 34:35 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)