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Dusheti vs Samtredia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Tsentraluri Stadioni, Dusheti
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gaye M.
33' Event
Latsabidze G.
Assist: Gvasalia D.
42' Event
Javakhishvili I.
Assist: Nuhu B.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between Dusheti and Samtredia finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samtredia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Dusheti
15%
Draws
59%
Samtredia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Dusheti have managed 1.24 goals a game lately — Samtredia are scoring more at 1.79.
  • Samtredia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 10%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dusheti Samtredia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs Samtredia
2:4
May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Dusheti
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs Samtredia
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 Georgian Cup
Dusheti vs Samtredia
0:2
Feb 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Samtredia vs Dusheti
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dusheti Compare

Top Goalscorer Javakhishvili I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaye M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Latsabidze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dusheti 10 / 100
Samtredia 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dusheti Samtredia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Dusheti found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Samtredia has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Dusheti remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dusheti VS Samtredia
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dusheti

(Home)
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Dusheti
0 : 1
Odishi 1919
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
30 Aug
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 1
Dusheti
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Samtredia

(Away)
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)