Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dusheti vs Samtredia

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Tsentraluri Stadioni, Dusheti
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gaye M.
33' Event
Latsabidze G.
Assist: Gvasalia D.
42' Event
Javakhishvili I.
Assist: Nuhu B.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between Dusheti and Samtredia finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samtredia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Dusheti
15%
Draws
31%
Samtredia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dusheti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dusheti come out ahead of Samtredia on wins alone.
  • Dusheti are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 15%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dusheti Samtredia
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.74 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs Samtredia
2:4
May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Dusheti
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs Samtredia
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 Georgian Cup
Dusheti vs Samtredia
0:2
Feb 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Samtredia vs Dusheti
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dusheti Compare

Top Goalscorer Javakhishvili I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaye M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Latsabidze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dusheti 39 / 100
Samtredia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dusheti Samtredia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dusheti scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: Samtredia conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dusheti remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dusheti VS Samtredia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dusheti

(Home)
08 Aug
Dusheti
2 : 4
Samtredia
02 Aug
Guria
1 : 2
Dusheti
25 Jul
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 1
Dusheti
17 Jul
Dusheti
4 : 3
Urartu
25 Jun
Zooveti Tbilisi
0 : 2
Dusheti
Page 1 of 7

Samtredia

(Away)
08 Aug
Dusheti
2 : 4
Samtredia
26 Jul
Samtredia
2 : 1
Shturmi
22 Jun
Bolnisi
3 : 2
Samtredia
17 Jun
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Samtredia
13 Jun
Samtredia
2 : 2
Kolkheti 1913
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 20 11 7 2 24:12 40
2 Telavi 20 10 6 4 22:15 36
3 Shturmi 20 7 9 4 19:15 30
4 Merani Martvili 20 8 6 6 24:22 30
5 Odishi 1919 20 7 6 7 25:27 27
6 Dusheti 20 7 4 9 20:27 25
7 Bolnisi 20 6 7 7 26:24 25
8 Gori 20 4 7 9 17:25 19
9 Samtredia 20 5 4 11 29:38 19
10 Kolkheti 1913 20 4 6 10 25:26 18
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)