Sport Picks
Dusseldorf vs Elversberg
Germany
2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Merkur Spiel-Arena, Düsseldorf 
Match Events
26'
26'
Le Joncour F.
Own Goal
30'
30'
Zimmermann M.
43'
43'
Itten C.
Assist: Appelkamp S.
AI Match Summary
Dusseldorf in this 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dusseldorf.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dusseldorf
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Dusseldorf haven't matched Elversberg's recent run of results.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 10%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dusseldorf | Elversberg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Elversberg
3:1
Dec 14, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Dusseldorf
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Dusseldorf
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Elversberg
0:2
Feb 10, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Elversberg
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dusseldorf Compare
Top Goalscorer Itten C.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Elversberg Compare
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dusseldorf 30 / 100
Elversberg 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dusseldorf Elversberg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Elversberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elversberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Dusseldorf's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Dusseldorf remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Dusseldorf VS Elversberg
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Dusseldorf
(Home) 19 Sept
Alemannia Aachen
1 : 0 Dusseldorf
15 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2 Dusseldorf
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1 Duisburg
06 Sept
Fortuna Koln
0 : 0 Dusseldorf
28 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart II
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1 Duisburg
28 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart II
23 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 5 Freiburg
15 Aug
Dusseldorf
0 : 2 Hoffenheim II
31 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 3 Hannover
Page 1 of 3
Elversberg
(Away) 24 Sept
Mannheim
2 : 1 Elversberg
20 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0 Elversberg
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2 Bayern Munich
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4 Elversberg
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
Mannheim
2 : 1 Elversberg
20 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0 Elversberg
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4 Elversberg
22 Aug
Duisburg
1 : 3 Elversberg
08 Aug
Mallorca
1 : 1 Elversberg
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 50:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 64:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59:45 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60:44 | 60 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 57:45 | 52 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52:47 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 46 |
| 9 | Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:53 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:48 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 53:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 52:58 | 39 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 16 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:68 | 37 |
| 17 | Dusseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 33:53 | 37 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:61 | 30 |
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
