Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dusseldorf vs Elversberg

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Merkur Spiel-Arena, Düsseldorf
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Le Joncour F.
Own Goal
30'
Zimmermann M.
43' Event
Itten C.
Assist: Appelkamp S.

AI Match Summary

Dusseldorf in this 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dusseldorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dusseldorf
6%
Draws
4%
Elversberg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dusseldorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Elversberg haven't matched Dusseldorf's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dusseldorf taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 10%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dusseldorf Elversberg
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 3.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Elversberg
3:1
Dec 14, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Dusseldorf
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Dusseldorf
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Elversberg
0:2
Feb 10, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Elversberg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dusseldorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Itten C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Elversberg Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dusseldorf 83 / 100
Elversberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dusseldorf Elversberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dusseldorf's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Elversberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Dusseldorf remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dusseldorf VS Elversberg
3.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dusseldorf

(Home)
25 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Dortmund
18 Jul
LASK Linz
2 : 0
Dusseldorf
15 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 0
Ruzomberok
09 Jul
VfL Benrath
1 : 12
Dusseldorf
08 Jul
SC St.Tonis
0 : 5
Dusseldorf
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Elversberg

(Away)
25 Jul
Nijmegen
0 : 1
Elversberg
17 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 1
Elversberg
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
04 Jul
Giessen
0 : 5
Elversberg
17 May
Elversberg
3 : 0
Preussen Munster
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Schalke34217650:3170
2Elversberg34188864:3962
3Paderborn34188859:4562
4Hannover341612660:4460
5Darmstadt341313857:4552
6Kaiserslautern341641452:4752
7Hertha Berlin341491147:4451
8Nurnberg3412101247:4546
9Bochum3411111249:4744
10Karlsruher341281453:6444
11Dresden341181554:5341
12Holstein Kiel341181544:4841
13Arminia Bielefeld341091553:5139
14Magdeburg341231952:5839
15Braunschweig341071736:5437
16Greuther Furth341071749:6837
17Dusseldorf341141933:5337
18Preussen Munster346121638:6130
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)