Sport Picks
Dusseldorf vs Freiburg
Germany
DFB Pokal 2025/2026 Merkur Spiel-Arena, Düsseldorf 
Match Events
1'
1'
Matanovic I.
4'
4'
Gunter C.
6'
6'
Grifo V.
Assist: Matanovic I.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Freiburg advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freiburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Freiburg carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Dusseldorf's way, sitting at 36%.
- Freiburg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Freiburg, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 16%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dusseldorf | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 29, 2025 DFB Pokal
Dusseldorf vs Freiburg
1:3
Feb 22, 2020 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Dusseldorf
0:2
Sep 29, 2019 Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Freiburg
1:2
May 5, 2019 Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Dusseldorf
1:1
Dec 15, 2018 Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Freiburg
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dusseldorf Compare
Top Goalscorer El Azzouzi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Freiburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Matanovic I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Grifo V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dusseldorf 36 / 100
Freiburg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dusseldorf Freiburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Freiburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Dusseldorf found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Dusseldorf has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dusseldorf VS Freiburg
3.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dusseldorf
(Home) 07 Aug
Mannheim
2 : 1 Dusseldorf
31 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 3 Hannover
25 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 1 Dortmund
18 Jul
LASK Linz
2 : 0 Dusseldorf
15 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 0 Ruzomberok
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 3 Hannover
25 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 1 Dortmund
15 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 0 Ruzomberok
10 May
Dusseldorf
3 : 1 Elversberg
24 Apr
Dusseldorf
3 : 1 Dresden
Page 1 of 3
Freiburg
(Away) 08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
31 Jul
Freiburg
0 : 3 Greuther Furth
24 Jul
Freiburg
3 : 1 Derby
20 May
Freiburg
0 : 3 Aston Villa
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Hamburger
3 : 2 Freiburg
30 Apr
Braga
2 : 1 Freiburg
26 Apr
Dortmund
4 : 0 Freiburg
23 Apr
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 1 Freiburg
16 Apr
Celta Vigo
1 : 3 Freiburg
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Engers 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 5
RW Essen 0
Dortmund 1
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Paderborn 3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
Delmenhorst 2
B. Monchengladbach 3
Meuselwitz 0
Karlsruher 5
Eintracht Norderstedt 0
St. Pauli 1
Hansa Rostock 0
Hoffenheim 4
Gutersloh 0
Union Berlin 5
Arminia Bielefeld 1
Werder Bremen 0
Regensburg 1
1. FC Koln 2
Wehen 2
Bayern Munich 3
Energie Cottbus 1
Hannover 0
Sandhausen 2
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 4
Nurnberg 3
Saarbrucken 1
Magdeburg 3
Bahlinger 0
Heidenheim 5
Pirmasens 1
Hamburger 2
Hemelingen 0
Wolfsburg 9
FC 08 Homburg 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hallescher 0
Augsburg 2
BFC Dynamo 1
Bochum 3
Dresden 0
Mainz 1
Braunschweig 4
VfB Stuttgart 5
Preussen Munster 0
Hertha Berlin 1
Ulm 0
Elversberg 1
Lohne 0
Greuther Furth 2
Rsv Eintracht 0
Kaiserslautern 7
1. FC Schweinfurt 2
Dusseldorf 4
Lotte 0
Freiburg 2
Lubeck 1
Darmstadt 2
Lokomotive Leipzig 0
Schalke 1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Dortmund 2
Paderborn 2
Bayer Leverkusen 4
B. Monchengladbach 3
Karlsruher 1
St. Pauli 3
Hoffenheim 2
Union Berlin 2
Arminia Bielefeld 1
1. FC Koln 1
Bayern Munich 4
Energie Cottbus 1
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 0
Magdeburg 3
Heidenheim 0
Hamburger 1
Wolfsburg 0
Holstein Kiel 1
Augsburg 0
Bochum 1
Mainz 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 3
Elversberg 0
Greuther Furth 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 3
Darmstadt 4
Schalke 0
1/8-finals
Dortmund 0
Bayer Leverkusen 1
B. Monchengladbach 1
St. Pauli 2
Union Berlin 2
Bayern Munich 3
RB Leipzig 3
Magdeburg 1
Hamburger 1
Holstein Kiel 2
Bochum 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 6
Kaiserslautern 1
Freiburg 2
Darmstadt 0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 3
St. Pauli 0
Bayern Munich 2
RB Leipzig 0
Holstein Kiel 0
VfB Stuttgart 3
Hertha Berlin 1
Freiburg 2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 0
Bayern Munich 2
VfB Stuttgart 2
Freiburg 1
Final
Bayern Munich 3
VfB Stuttgart 0
