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Dutch Lions vs Hart Academy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Barry E.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Diallo I.
(Penalty)
29' Event
Fofana M.

AI Match Summary

Dutch Lions in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dutch Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dutch Lions
30%
Draws
39%
Hart Academy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hart Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hart Academy have won more games recently than Dutch Lions.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Dutch Lions taking it.
  • Regular GFA League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 68%
Hart Academy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dutch Lions Hart Academy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 13 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 GFA League
Dutch Lions vs Hart Academy
3:2
Jan 23, 2026 GFA League
Hart Academy vs Dutch Lions
0:0
May 18, 2025 GFA League
Dutch Lions vs Hart Academy
0:1
Jan 4, 2025 GFA League
Hart Academy vs Dutch Lions
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dutch Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hart Academy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dutch Lions 51 / 100
Hart Academy 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dutch Lions Hart Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hart Academy conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Dutch Lions's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Dutch Lions remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dutch Lions VS Hart Academy
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dutch Lions

(Home)
22 Jun
Dutch Lions
3 : 3
Brikama United
17 Jun
Medina United
2 : 1
Dutch Lions
11 Jun
Dutch Lions
3 : 4
TMT
06 Jun
Gambia Ports
1 : 0
Dutch Lions
25 May
Dutch Lions
3 : 1
Hawks
Page 1 of 6

Hart Academy

(Away)
22 Jun
Falcons
2 : 1
Hart Academy
17 Jun
Hart Academy
3 : 1
Brikama United
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Medina United
0 : 0
Hart Academy
25 May
Hart Academy
0 : 1
TMT
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)